Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag entertain Heerenveen on 24 October 2026 · 20:00 at Bingoal Stadion (The Hague), with Jannick van der Laan the man in the middle. Heerenveen (48%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.53 | 4.00 | 2.03 |
| Market average | 3.39 | 3.86 | 1.99 |
| Lowest odds | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.44 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.68 | 35.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.11 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.41 | 65.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.72 | 34.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Heerenveen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), Heerenveen 7th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 5L (11:20), Heerenveen 3W 3D 3L (15:11).
- H2H: 23 matches: ADO Den Haag 4W 9D 10L, goals 24–36.
- Absences: ADO Den Haag 2, Heerenveen 1.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: injuries, suspensions, absences
ADO Den Haag
- L. Reischlgroin injury · will miss the match
- D. Baranythigh injury · doubtful
Heerenveen
- D. Properhamstring injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
ADO Den Haag
Home and away
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. ADO Den Haag: 17th, 6 points from 11 matches (1W 3D 7L). Heerenveen: 7th, 18 points (5W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: ADO Den Haag 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded, Heerenveen 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. ADO Den Haag: 1W 3D 5L, goals 11–20; Heerenveen: 3W 3D 3L, goals 15–11.
- Head to head. Head to head over 23 meetings: ADO Den Haag 4 wins, Heerenveen 10 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 24–36.
What to expect
We make Heerenveen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (9.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 66% and over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 23; ADO Den Haag 4 wins, 9 draws, Heerenveen 10 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: ADO Den Haag 11–20, Heerenveen 15–11.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Not available: ADO Den Haag 2, Heerenveen 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for ADO Den Haag: L. Reischl, D. Barany. Not available for Heerenveen: D. Proper. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
ADO Den HaagLLWDDHeerenveenWWWLWADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
On the result, our pick is Heerenveen to win (2.03); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Heerenveen (X2).
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
As we see it: ADO Den Haag to win 28%, the draw 25%, Heerenveen to win 48%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 20:00, at Bingoal Stadion, The Hague. Referee: Jannick van der Laan.
Who will be missing?
ADO Den Haag: L. Reischl, D. Barany. Heerenveen: D. Proper. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 65% chance (odds 1.50), against 35% for under 2.5 (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 66% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (9.7%), 1–2 (9.2%), 2–1 (7.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.