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Serie A · Matchweek 11 · 8 November 2026 · 19:45

Fiorentina vs Juventus tip, odds and prediction, 8 November 2026, Serie A

VS
1Fiorentina3.96
XDraw3.96
2Juventus1.96

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:26

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Fiorentina v Juventus takes place on 8 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence). We back Juventus (49%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Fiorentina vs Juventus: tip and prediction
Result
Juventus to win
1.96
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
49%chance of the result
57%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Juventus (X2) – probability 75%, odds up to 1.29.

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Fiorentina vs Juventus: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.963.961.96
Market average3.703.651.93
Lowest odds3.313.251.90
Megapari3.973.961.96
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2277.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.811.7554.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.162.0945.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.902.8133.6%
BTTS – yes1.671.6456.7%
BTTS – no2.202.1543.3%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:26. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Fiorentina 17th (5 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Fiorentina 1W 2D 6L (11:21), Juventus 4W 2D 3L (11:10).
  • H2H: 34 matches: Fiorentina 6W 9D 19L, goals 29–47.
  • Absences: Fiorentina 1, Juventus 0.

Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?

Fiorentina25%
Draw26%
Juventus49%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Fiorentina vs Juventus: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals77.0% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.25
Likely
Draw or Juventus (X2)74.6% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.4% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams score: yes56.7% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.4% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.81
Possible
Juventus to win48.8% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.96
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.16
Outsider
Both teams score: no43.3% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.6% · fair odds 2.98 · best 2.90
Outsider
Draw25.8% · fair odds 3.87 · best 3.96
Outsider
Fiorentina to win25.4% · fair odds 3.94 · best 3.96
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.5%
0 : 110.0%
1 : 29.5%
0 : 28.3%
1 : 07.0%
2 : 16.6%

Fiorentina vs Juventus: injuries, suspensions, absences

Fiorentina

  • R. Sottilback injury · will miss the match

Juventus

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Fiorentina vs Juventus: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta93-2-416:1711
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Sassuolo92-2-514:228
16Monza102-1-717:247
17Fiorentina91-2-611:215
18Parma91-2-65:155
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Fiorentina

29 OctDFiorentina 2–2 Atalanta
25 OctLInter 2–1 Fiorentina
18 OctLFiorentina 1–3 Como
10 OctLGenoa 2–1 Fiorentina
20 SeptDFiorentina 1–1 Napoli

Juventus

1 NovWJuventus 2–0 Napoli
28 OctLGenoa 2–0 Juventus
25 OctWLecce 0–2 Juventus
22 OctDJuventus 2–2 Rennes
18 OctLJuventus 0–3 Lazio

Home and away

Fiorentina at home5 matches: 0W 2D 3L, goals 5–11
Juventus away5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 6–6

Fiorentina vs Juventus: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Fiorentina: 17th, 5 points from 9 matches (1W 2D 6L). Juventus: 7th, 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Fiorentina 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded, Juventus 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Fiorentina: 1W 2D 6L, goals 11–21; Juventus: 4W 2D 3L, goals 11–10.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 34 meetings: Fiorentina 6 wins, Juventus 19 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 29–47.

What to expect

We make Juventus the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 34; Fiorentina 6 wins, 9 draws, Juventus 19 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Fiorentina 11–21, Juventus 11–10.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
  5. Not available: Fiorentina 1, Juventus 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Fiorentina: R. Sottil. Not available for Juventus: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Fiorentina vs Juventus: the numbers side by side

FiorentinaJuventus
22%Form78%
55%Attack45%
38%Defence63%
62%Head to head38%
67%Goals33%
45.7%Overall54.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

FiorentinaDLLLD
JuventusWLWLD

Fiorentina vs Juventus: head to head

All matches
6Fiorentina
9Draws
19Juventus
17/5/26 · Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina
22/11/25 · Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus
16/3/25 · Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus
29/12/24 · Juventus 2–2 Fiorentina
7/4/24 · Juventus 1–0 Fiorentina
5/11/23 · Fiorentina 0–1 Juventus

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.4%

Fiorentina vs Juventus: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Fiorentina vs Juventus?

On the result, our pick is Juventus to win (1.96); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Juventus (X2).

Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?

As we see it: Fiorentina to win 25%, the draw 26%, Juventus to win 49%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

8 November 2026, 19:45, at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.

Who will be missing?

Fiorentina: R. Sottil. Juventus: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.81), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.16).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 0–1 (10.0%), 1–2 (9.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 2 NovAtalanta vs Parma 2 NovVenezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.