Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Nordsjælland entertain FC Midtjylland on 1 November 2026 · 15:00 at Right to Dream Park (Farum), with Lasse Kirk Graagaard the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.35 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| Market average | 2.28 | 3.69 | 2.78 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.49 | 2.68 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 1.49 | 62.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.48 | 37.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.23 | 42.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.66 | 34.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 12:54. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Nordsjælland 1–1 FC Midtjylland, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Nordsjælland 5th (20 points), FC Midtjylland 1st (31 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Nordsjælland 5W 5D 2L (18:14), FC Midtjylland 8W 4D 0L (24:13).
- H2H: 56 matches: FC Nordsjælland 17W 13D 26L, goals 76–108.
- Absences: FC Nordsjælland 3, FC Midtjylland 7.
Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: injuries, suspensions, absences
FC Nordsjælland
- S. Alioknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Mohammedknee injury · will miss the match
- V. Nelssoninjury · doubtful
FC Midtjylland
- D. Castillonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Erlicfoot injury · will miss the match
- M. Gogorzahip injury · will miss the match
- M. Jensenfoot injury · will miss the match
- Junior Brumadoknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Olafssonillness · will miss the match
- P. Billinginjury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 12 | 8-2-2 | 26:12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 | FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 |  AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 |  Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 9 |  Silkeborg | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 13 | 2-5-6 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sønderjyske | 12 | 2-2-8 | 17:29 | 8 |
Recent matches
FC Nordsjælland
Home and away
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. FC Nordsjælland: 5th, 20 points from 13 matches (5W 5D 3L). FC Midtjylland: 1st, 31 points (9W 4D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: FC Nordsjælland 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded, FC Midtjylland 2.0 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Nordsjælland: 5W 5D 2L, goals 18–14; FC Midtjylland: 8W 4D 0L, goals 24–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 56 meetings: FC Nordsjælland 17 wins, FC Midtjylland 26 wins, plus 13 draws; goals 76–108.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the FC Midtjylland look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.54), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 56; FC Nordsjælland 17 wins, 13 draws, FC Midtjylland 26 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: FC Nordsjælland 18–14, FC Midtjylland 24–13.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: FC Nordsjælland 3, FC Midtjylland 7.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for FC Nordsjælland: S. Alio, A. Mohammed, V. Nelsson. Not available for FC Midtjylland: D. Castillo, M. Erlic, M. Gogorza, M. Jensen, Junior Brumado, E. Olafsson, P. Billing. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
FC NordsjællandLDDDLFC MidtjyllandWWWWDFC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?
On the result, our pick is FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X) (1.45); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.54). Prefer less risk? Go for FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X).
Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?
As we see it: FC Nordsjælland to win 41%, the draw 25%, FC Midtjylland to win 34%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 15:00, at Right to Dream Park, Farum. Referee: Lasse Kirk Graagaard.
Who will be missing?
FC Nordsjælland: S. Alio, A. Mohammed, V. Nelsson. FC Midtjylland: D. Castillo, M. Erlic, M. Gogorza, M. Jensen, Junior Brumado, E. Olafsson, P. Billing. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.54), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.4%), 2–1 (8.8%), 1–2 (7.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.