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Segunda División · Matchweek 11 · 26 October 2026 · 19:30

FC Andorra vs Burgos tip, odds and prediction, 26 October 2026, Segunda División

2–3
DWWLL
1FC Andorra2.01
XDraw3.50
2Burgos4.17

Top odds available · Updated 26/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FC Andorra v Burgos takes place on 26 October 2026 · 19:30 at Estadi de la FAF (Encamp); D. Miranda will referee. We back FC Andorra (48%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

FC Andorra vs Burgos: tip and prediction
Result
FC Andorra to win
2.01
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.87
48%chance of the result
53%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: FC Andorra or draw (1X) – probability 76%, odds up to 1.30.

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FC Andorra vs Burgos: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.013.504.17
Market average1.963.343.81
Lowest odds1.913.103.48
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.341.3072.0%
Over 2.5 goals2.081.9947.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.871.8052.6%
Over 3.5 goals3.753.4926.9%
BTTS – yes1.831.7951.6%
BTTS – no1.961.9148.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 26/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: FC Andorra 1–1 Burgos, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: FC Andorra 20th (10 points), Burgos 7th (21 points).
  • Form in the competition: FC Andorra 3W 1D 6L (13:17), Burgos 5W 2D 3L (13:10).
  • H2H: 8 matches: FC Andorra 2W 1D 5L, goals 6–10.
  • Absences: FC Andorra 0, Burgos 0.

Who will win FC Andorra vs Burgos?

FC Andorra48%
Draw28%
Burgos24%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

FC Andorra vs Burgos: more betting markets

FC Andorra or draw (1X)75.5% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals73.1% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.32
Likely
Over 1.5 goals72.0% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.34
Likely
Under 2.5 goals52.6% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.87
Possible
Both teams score: yes51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.83
Possible
Both teams score: no48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.96
Outsider
FC Andorra to win47.6% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.01
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals47.4% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.08
Outsider
Draw27.9% · fair odds 3.58 · best 3.50
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals26.9% · fair odds 3.72 · best 3.75
Outsider
Burgos to win24.5% · fair odds 4.09 · best 4.17
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.03 · Under 1.72
probability of over 45.9%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.46 · Under 2.58
probability of over 63.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.3%
1 : 011.7%
2 : 19.2%
2 : 08.8%
0 : 18.2%
0 : 07.8%

FC Andorra vs Burgos: injuries, suspensions, absences

FC Andorra

  • No reported absences

Burgos

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

FC Andorra vs Burgos: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
6Girona126-3-322:1121
7Burgos126-3-317:1321
8Mallorca115-4-213:619
9Oviedo115-3-315:1218
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Córdoba125-1-619:2216
12Tenerife113-5-313:1514
13Eldense124-2-613:1714
14Las Palmas114-2-514:1914
15Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
16Valladolid113-3-516:1612
17Leganés113-3-57:1612
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz112-4-514:1410
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

FC Andorra

26 OctLFC Andorra 2–3 Burgos
18 OctLGirona 2–0 FC Andorra
11 OctWFC Andorra 1–0 Castellón
4 OctDSabadell 0–0 FC Andorra
26 SeptWGranada CF 2–3 FC Andorra

Burgos

1 NovDBurgos 1–1 Castellón
26 OctWFC Andorra 2–3 Burgos
18 OctWBurgos 1–0 Sabadell
12 OctLBurgos 0–1 Granada CF
3 OctLAlmería 2–1 Burgos

Home and away

FC Andorra at home6 matches: 2W 0D 4L, goals 10–11
Burgos away5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 6–6

FC Andorra vs Burgos: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. FC Andorra: 20th, 10 points from 11 matches (3W 1D 7L). Burgos: 7th, 21 points (6W 3D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: FC Andorra 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded, Burgos 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. FC Andorra: 3W 1D 6L, goals 13–17; Burgos: 5W 2D 3L, goals 13–10.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 8 meetings: FC Andorra 2 wins, Burgos 5 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 6–10.

What to expect

We make FC Andorra the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.3%). We see a fairly level contest.

The two signals clash: on table position the Burgos look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 47%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 8; FC Andorra 2 wins, 1 draw, Burgos 5 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: FC Andorra 13–17, Burgos 13–10.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 47%.
  5. Not available: FC Andorra 0, Burgos 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.83). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for FC Andorra: no absences. Not available for Burgos: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

FC Andorra vs Burgos: the numbers side by side

FC AndorraBurgos
44%Form56%
50%Attack50%
36%Defence64%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
46.5%Overall53.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

FC AndorraLLWDW
BurgosDWWLL

FC Andorra vs Burgos: head to head

All matches
2FC Andorra
1Draws
5Burgos
26/10/26 · FC Andorra 2–3 Burgos
31/5/26 · Burgos 1–0 FC Andorra
31/8/25 · FC Andorra 2–1 Burgos
18/5/24 · FC Andorra 1–0 Burgos
25/11/23 · Burgos 0–0 FC Andorra
15/1/23 · Burgos 2–1 FC Andorra

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.4%

FC Andorra vs Burgos: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for FC Andorra vs Burgos?

On the result, our pick is FC Andorra to win (2.01); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.87). Prefer less risk? Go for FC Andorra or draw (1X).

Who will win FC Andorra vs Burgos?

As we see it: FC Andorra to win 48%, the draw 28%, Burgos to win 24%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

26 October 2026, 19:30, at Estadi de la FAF, Encamp. Referee: D. Miranda.

Who will be missing?

FC Andorra: no absences. Burgos: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 47% chance (odds 2.08), against 53% for under 2.5 (odds 1.87).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.83).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.3%), 1–0 (11.7%), 2–1 (9.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Valladolid vs Leganés 2 NovMallorca vs Cádiz 2 NovCastellón vs Eibar 6 NovBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.