Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Burgos entertain Castellón on 1 November 2026 · 17:30 at Municipal El Plantío (Burgos), with Rafael Sanchez Lopez the man in the middle. Castellón (46%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Burgos vs Castellón: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.32 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Market average | 3.75 | 3.22 | 2.03 |
| Lowest odds | 3.29 | 3.00 | 1.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.26 | 74.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.88 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.91 | 49.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.12 | 30.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.68 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.07 | 44.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 17:05. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Burgos 1–1 Castellón, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Burgos 7th (21 points), Castellón 1st (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Burgos 6W 2D 3L (16:12), Castellón 8W 2D 1L (22:4).
- H2H: 4 matches: Burgos 0W 1D 3L, goals 2–7.
- Absences: Burgos 0, Castellón 0.
Who will win Burgos vs Castellón?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Burgos vs Castellón: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Burgos vs Castellón: injuries, suspensions, absences
Burgos
- No reported absences
Castellón
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Burgos vs Castellón: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 6 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 7 | Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5-4-2 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 11 | 5-3-3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4-2-5 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 11 | 3-3-5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 7:16 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Burgos
Home and away
Burgos vs Castellón: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Burgos: 7th, 21 points from 12 matches (6W 3D 3L). Castellón: 1st, 27 points (8W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Burgos 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded, Castellón 2.0 scored and 0.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Burgos: 6W 2D 3L, goals 16–12; Castellón: 8W 2D 1L, goals 22–4.
- Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Burgos 0 wins, Castellón 3 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 2–7.
What to expect
We make Castellón the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.0%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; Burgos 0 wins, 1 draw, Castellón 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Burgos 16–12, Castellón 22–4.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Not available: Burgos 0, Castellón 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Burgos: no absences. Not available for Castellón: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Burgos vs Castellón: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
BurgosDWWLLCastellónDWWLDBurgos vs Castellón: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Burgos vs Castellón: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Burgos vs Castellón?
On the result, our pick is Castellón to win (2.10); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Castellón (X2).
Who will win Burgos vs Castellón?
As we see it: Burgos to win 25%, the draw 29%, Castellón to win 46%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 17:30, at Municipal El Plantío, Burgos. Referee: Rafael Sanchez Lopez.
Who will be missing?
Burgos: no absences. Castellón: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.95), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.97).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.0%), 0–1 (11.0%), 1–2 (9.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.