Bet with MINO CASINO →Chelsea and Leeds meet on 21 November 2026 · 15:00 at Stamford Bridge (London). Chelsea (53%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Chelsea vs Leeds: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.86 | 4.03 | 4.36 |
| Market average | 1.80 | 3.83 | 4.23 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 77.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.76 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.12 | 45.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.90 | 2.82 | 33.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 2.09 | 44.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Chelsea 1–1 Leeds, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chelsea 4th (16 points), Leeds 11th (11 points).
- Absences: Chelsea 0, Leeds 0.
Who will win Chelsea vs Leeds?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Chelsea vs Leeds: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Chelsea vs Leeds: injuries, suspensions, absences
Chelsea
- No reported absences
Leeds
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Chelsea vs Leeds: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Chelsea
Home and away
Chelsea vs Leeds: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Chelsea: 4th, 16 points from 9 matches (5W 1D 3L). Leeds: 11th, 11 points (2W 5D 2L).
What to expect
We make Chelsea the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Not available: Chelsea 0, Leeds 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Chelsea: no absences. Not available for Leeds: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Chelsea vs Leeds: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Chelsea vs Leeds?
On the result, our pick is Chelsea to win (1.86); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Chelsea or draw (1X).
Who will win Chelsea vs Leeds?
As we see it: Chelsea to win 53%, the draw 25%, Leeds to win 22%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
21 November 2026, 15:00, at Stamford Bridge, London.
Who will be missing?
Chelsea: no absences. Leeds: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.81), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.15).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.1%), 1–0 (10.1%), 2–1 (9.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.