Bet with MINO CASINO →Ajax entertain ADO Den Haag on 22 November 2026 · 13:30 at Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam). Ajax (81%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.17 | 8.45 | 14.50 |
| Market average | 1.16 | 7.85 | 13.17 |
| Lowest odds | 1.15 | 7.50 | 12.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.05 | 88.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.26 | 73.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.52 | 26.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.70 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.04 | 2.02 | 46.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:16. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Ajax 2–0 ADO Den Haag, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Ajax 2nd (24 points), ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points).
- Absences: Ajax 0, ADO Den Haag 0.
Who will win Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: injuries, suspensions, absences
Ajax
- No reported absences
ADO Den Haag
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Ajax
Home and away
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Ajax: 2nd, 24 points from 11 matches (7W 3D 1L). ADO Den Haag: 17th, 6 points (1W 3D 7L).
What to expect
We make Ajax the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (9.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.17, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.74), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 74%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 74%.
- Not available: Ajax 0, ADO Den Haag 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Ajax: no absences. Not available for ADO Den Haag: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?
On the result, our pick is Ajax to win (1.17); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.74). Prefer less risk? Go for Ajax or draw (1X).
Who will win Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?
As we see it: Ajax to win 81%, the draw 12%, ADO Den Haag to win 7%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
22 November 2026, 13:30, at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
Who will be missing?
Ajax: no absences. ADO Den Haag: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 74% chance (odds 1.28), against 26% for under 2.5 (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (9.6%), 3–0 (9.6%), 2–1 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.