Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cádiz entertain AD Ceuta FC on 25 October 2026 · 15:15 at JP Financial Estadio (Cádiz), with A. Fuentes the man in the middle. Cádiz (46%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.13 | 3.48 | 3.75 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.39 | 3.53 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.26 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.88 | 50.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.90 | 49.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.33 | 3.19 | 29.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.06 | 2.02 | 45.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:29. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cádiz 1–1 AD Ceuta FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Cádiz 19th (10 points), AD Ceuta FC 22nd (5 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Cádiz 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–9.
- Absences: Cádiz 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Who will win Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: injuries, suspensions, absences
Cádiz
- No reported absences
AD Ceuta FC
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5-4-2 | 13:6 | 19 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5-3-3 | 15:12 | 18 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 | |
| 14 | 11 | 4-2-5 | 14:19 | 14 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 | |
| 16 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 16:16 | 12 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 7:16 | 12 | |
| 18 | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 | |
| 19 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:14 | 10 | |
| 20 | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 | |
| 21 | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 | |
| 22 | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Cádiz
Home and away
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Cádiz: 19th, 10 points from 11 matches (2W 4D 5L). AD Ceuta FC: 22nd, 5 points (1W 2D 9L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Cádiz 1 win, AD Ceuta FC 3 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 5–9.
What to expect
We make Cádiz the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.0%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 5; Cádiz 1 win, 1 draw, AD Ceuta FC 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Not available: Cádiz 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Cádiz: no absences. Not available for AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: head to head
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Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
On the result, our pick is Cádiz to win (2.13); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Cádiz or draw (1X).
Who will win Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
As we see it: Cádiz to win 46%, the draw 28%, AD Ceuta FC to win 27%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 15:15, at JP Financial Estadio, Cádiz. Referee: A. Fuentes.
Who will be missing?
Cádiz: no absences. AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.95), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.0%), 1–0 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
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