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Segunda División · Matchweek 11 · 25 October 2026 · 15:15

Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC tip, odds and prediction, 25 October 2026, Segunda División

WLLWD
3–1
1Cádiz2.13
XDraw3.48
2AD Ceuta FC3.75

Top odds available · Updated 25/10/26, 13:29

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Cádiz entertain AD Ceuta FC on 25 October 2026 · 15:15 at JP Financial Estadio (Cádiz), with A. Fuentes the man in the middle. Cádiz (46%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: tip and prediction
Result
Cádiz to win
2.13
Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
46%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Cádiz or draw (1X) – probability 73%, odds up to 1.33.

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Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.133.483.75
Market average2.053.393.53
Lowest odds1.853.203.30
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.311.2674.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.951.8850.2%
Under 2.5 goals1.961.9049.8%
Over 3.5 goals3.333.1929.4%
BTTS – yes1.751.7154.2%
BTTS – no2.062.0245.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:29. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Cádiz 1–1 AD Ceuta FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Cádiz 19th (10 points), AD Ceuta FC 22nd (5 points).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Cádiz 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–9.
  • Absences: Cádiz 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.

Who will win Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

Cádiz46%
Draw28%
AD Ceuta FC27%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals74.0% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.31
Likely
Cádiz or draw (1X)73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.6% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.36
Likely
Both teams score: yes54.2% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.2% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.95
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.8% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.96
Outsider
Cádiz to win45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.13
Outsider
Both teams score: no45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.06
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.4% · fair odds 3.40 · best 3.33
Outsider
Draw27.6% · fair odds 3.62 · best 3.48
Outsider
AD Ceuta FC to win26.5% · fair odds 3.77 · best 3.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.76 · Under 1.98
probability of over 52.9%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.48 · Under 2.55
probability of over 63.3%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.0%
1 : 010.4%
2 : 19.3%
2 : 08.1%
0 : 17.7%
1 : 26.9%

Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: injuries, suspensions, absences

Cádiz

  • No reported absences

AD Ceuta FC

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
6Girona126-3-322:1121
7Burgos126-3-317:1321
8Mallorca115-4-213:619
9Oviedo115-3-315:1218
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Córdoba125-1-619:2216
12Tenerife113-5-313:1514
13Eldense124-2-613:1714
14Las Palmas114-2-514:1914
15Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
16Valladolid113-3-516:1612
17Leganés113-3-57:1612
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz112-4-514:1410
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Cádiz

25 OctWCádiz 3–1 AD Ceuta FC
18 OctLGranada CF 2–0 Cádiz
11 OctLCádiz 0–1 Sporting Gijón
3 OctWCádiz 4–0 Leganés
26 SeptDTenerife 1–1 Cádiz

AD Ceuta FC

1 NovLAD Ceuta FC 0–2 Sporting Gijón
25 OctLCádiz 3–1 AD Ceuta FC
18 OctLAD Ceuta FC 1–2 Oviedo
10 OctLAD Ceuta FC 1–2 Sabadell
4 OctDCastellón 1–1 AD Ceuta FC

Home and away

Cádiz at home7 matches: 2W 2D 3L, goals 9–6
AD Ceuta FC away5 matches: 0W 1D 4L, goals 4–15

Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Cádiz: 19th, 10 points from 11 matches (2W 4D 5L). AD Ceuta FC: 22nd, 5 points (1W 2D 9L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Cádiz 1 win, AD Ceuta FC 3 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 5–9.

What to expect

We make Cádiz the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.0%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 5; Cádiz 1 win, 1 draw, AD Ceuta FC 3 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
  4. Not available: Cádiz 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Cádiz: no absences. Not available for AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: head to head

All matches
1Cádiz
1Draws
3AD Ceuta FC
25/10/26 · Cádiz 3–1 AD Ceuta FC
29/7/26 · Cádiz 1–3 AD Ceuta FC
28/3/26 · AD Ceuta FC 2–1 Cádiz
28/9/25 · Cádiz 0–0 AD Ceuta FC
2/8/25 · Cádiz 0–3 AD Ceuta FC

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.8%

Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

On the result, our pick is Cádiz to win (2.13); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Cádiz or draw (1X).

Who will win Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

As we see it: Cádiz to win 46%, the draw 28%, AD Ceuta FC to win 27%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

25 October 2026, 15:15, at JP Financial Estadio, Cádiz. Referee: A. Fuentes.

Who will be missing?

Cádiz: no absences. AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.95), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.96).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.0%), 1–0 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.