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League Two · Matchweek 13 · 24 October 2026 · 15:00

York vs Port Vale tip, odds and prediction, 24 October 2026, League Two

LLWDD
2–0
1York2.05
XDraw3.60
2Port Vale3.83

Top odds available · Updated 24/10/26, 13:59

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

York entertain Port Vale on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at York Community Stadium (York), with D. Webb the man in the middle. York (47%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

York vs Port Vale: tip and prediction
Result
York to win
2.05
Goals
Both teams to score
1.73
47%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: York or draw (1X) – probability 74%, odds up to 1.32.

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York vs Port Vale: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.053.603.83
Market average1.993.483.62
Lowest odds1.943.303.45
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2574.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.901.8451.0%
Under 2.5 goals1.951.9249.0%
Over 3.5 goals3.253.0730.2%
BTTS – yes1.731.7054.5%
BTTS – no2.102.0445.5%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:59. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: York 1–1 Port Vale, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: York 7th (20 points), Port Vale 18th (15 points).
  • H2H: 3 matches: York 1W 1D 1L, goals 4–4.
  • Absences: York 0, Port Vale 0.

Who will win York vs Port Vale?

York47%
Draw27%
Port Vale26%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

York vs Port Vale: more betting markets

York or draw (1X)74.1% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.32
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.0% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.8% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.36
Likely
Both teams score: yes54.5% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.73
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.90
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
York to win47.2% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.05
Outsider
Both teams score: no45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.2% · fair odds 3.31 · best 3.25
Outsider
Draw27.0% · fair odds 3.71 · best 3.60
Outsider
Port Vale to win25.9% · fair odds 3.86 · best 3.83
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.75 · Under 1.98
probability of over 53.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.0%
1 : 011.0%
2 : 19.3%
2 : 08.5%
0 : 17.8%
0 : 07.1%

York vs Port Vale: injuries, suspensions, absences

York

  • No reported absences

Port Vale

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

York vs Port Vale: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

York

31 OctLGrimsby 5–2 York
27 OctLBarnet 3–1 York
24 OctWYork 2–0 Port Vale
20 OctDYork 1–1 Accrington ST
17 OctDNewport County 1–1 York

Port Vale

31 OctWPort Vale 4–2 Rochdale
24 OctLYork 2–0 Port Vale
20 OctDGillingham 1–1 Port Vale
17 OctWPort Vale 1–0 Chesterfield
10 OctWPort Vale 1–0 Grimsby

Home and away

York at home7 matches: 5W 2D 0L, goals 16–5
Port Vale away6 matches: 0W 1D 5L, goals 2–11

York vs Port Vale: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. York: 7th, 20 points from 14 matches (5W 5D 4L). Port Vale: 18th, 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 3 meetings: York 1 win, Port Vale 1 win, plus 1 draw; goals 4–4.

What to expect

We make York the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.0%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 51%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 3; York 1 win, 1 draw, Port Vale 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 51%.
  4. Not available: York 0, Port Vale 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for York: no absences. Not available for Port Vale: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

York vs Port Vale: head to head

All matches
1York
1Draws
1Port Vale
24/10/26 · York 2–0 Port Vale
16/3/13 · York 0–2 Port Vale
17/11/12 · Port Vale 2–2 York

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.8%

York vs Port Vale: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for York vs Port Vale?

On the result, our pick is York to win (2.05); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for York or draw (1X).

Who will win York vs Port Vale?

As we see it: York to win 47%, the draw 27%, Port Vale to win 26%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

24 October 2026, 15:00, at York Community Stadium, York. Referee: D. Webb.

Who will be missing?

York: no absences. Port Vale: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 51% chance (odds 1.90), against 49% for under 2.5 (odds 1.95).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.73).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.0%), 1–0 (11.0%), 2–1 (9.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.