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League Two · Matchweek 9 · 27 October 2026 · 19:45

Barnet vs York tip, odds and prediction, 27 October 2026, League Two

DWDLW
3–1
LLWDD
1Barnet2.13
XDraw3.86
2York3.30

Top odds available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Barnet entertain York on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at The Hive Stadium (London), with B. Toner the man in the middle. Barnet (46%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Barnet vs York: tip and prediction
Result
Barnet to win
2.13
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
46%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Barnet or draw (1X) – probability 71%, odds up to 1.39.

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Barnet vs York: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.133.863.30
Market average2.043.723.17
Lowest odds1.903.472.99
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1382.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.4962.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.632.4637.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.372.2541.6%
BTTS – yes1.501.4464.4%
BTTS – no2.882.6135.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Barnet 1–1 York, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Barnet 2nd (26 points), York 7th (20 points).
  • Form in the competition: Barnet 6W 4D 1L (24:16), York 5W 5D 2L (21:13).
  • H2H: 11 matches: Barnet 6W 1D 4L, goals 20–19.
  • Absences: Barnet 0, York 0.

Who will win Barnet vs York?

Barnet46%
Draw25%
York29%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Barnet vs York: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals82.3% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.17
Likely
Barnet or draw (1X)70.7% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.39
Likely
Both teams score: yes64.4% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.2% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.62
Possible
Barnet to win45.7% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.13
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals41.6% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.37
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals37.8% · fair odds 2.65 · best 2.63
Outsider
Both teams score: no35.6% · fair odds 2.81 · best 2.88
Outsider
York to win29.3% · fair odds 3.41 · best 3.30
Outsider
Draw25.0% · fair odds 4.00 · best 3.86
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.67 · Under 2.07
probability of over 55.3%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.3%
2 : 19.2%
1 : 07.3%
1 : 27.2%
2 : 06.6%
2 : 26.5%

Barnet vs York: injuries, suspensions, absences

Barnet

  • No reported absences

York

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Barnet vs York: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Barnet

31 OctDCrewe 1–1 Barnet
27 OctWBarnet 3–1 York
24 OctDBarnet 1–1 Oldham
20 OctLBarnet 1–3 Swindon Town
17 OctWTranmere 1–2 Barnet

York

31 OctLGrimsby 5–2 York
27 OctLBarnet 3–1 York
24 OctWYork 2–0 Port Vale
20 OctDYork 1–1 Accrington ST
17 OctDNewport County 1–1 York

Home and away

Barnet at home7 matches: 4W 2D 1L, goals 15–10
York away7 matches: 0W 3D 4L, goals 8–16

Barnet vs York: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Barnet: 2nd, 26 points from 13 matches (7W 5D 1L). York: 7th, 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Barnet 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded, York 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Barnet: 6W 4D 1L, goals 24–16; York: 5W 5D 2L, goals 21–13.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 11 meetings: Barnet 6 wins, York 4 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 20–19.

What to expect

We make Barnet the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.3%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 11; Barnet 6 wins, 1 draw, York 4 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.5 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Barnet 24–16, York 21–13.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
  5. Not available: Barnet 0, York 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Barnet: no absences. Not available for York: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Barnet vs York: the numbers side by side

BarnetYork
53%Form47%
56%Attack44%
30%Defence70%
60%Head to head40%
59%Goals41%
53.0%Overall47.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

BarnetDWDLW
YorkLLWDD

Barnet vs York: head to head

All matches
6Barnet
1Draws
4York
27/10/26 · Barnet 3–1 York
18/2/25 · Barnet 3–1 York
22/10/24 · York 3–1 Barnet
24/2/24 · Barnet 2–0 York
26/9/23 · York 2–4 Barnet
3/4/23 · York 1–0 Barnet

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.7%

Barnet vs York: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Barnet vs York?

On the result, our pick is Barnet to win (2.13); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Barnet or draw (1X).

Who will win Barnet vs York?

As we see it: Barnet to win 46%, the draw 25%, York to win 29%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

27 October 2026, 19:45, at The Hive Stadium, London. Referee: B. Toner.

Who will be missing?

Barnet: no absences. York: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.55), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.63).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.50).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.3%), 2–1 (9.2%), 1–0 (7.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.