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League Two · Matchweek 12 · 20 October 2026 · 20:00

Gillingham vs Port Vale tip, odds and prediction, 20 October 2026, League Two

1–1
1Gillingham3.40
XDraw3.40
2Port Vale2.29

Top odds available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Gillingham entertain Port Vale on 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Gillingham vs Port Vale: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Port Vale (X2)
1.35
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.70
72%chance of the result
56%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Gillingham vs Port Vale: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.403.402.29
Market average3.273.212.17
Lowest odds3.013.042.13
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.381.3568.4%
Over 2.5 goals2.202.1443.9%
Under 2.5 goals1.701.6756.1%
Over 3.5 goals4.103.8424.2%
BTTS – yes1.871.8550.1%
BTTS – no1.911.8549.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Gillingham 8th (20 points), Port Vale 18th (15 points).
  • Absences: Gillingham 0, Port Vale 0.

Who will win Gillingham vs Port Vale?

Gillingham28%
Draw29%
Port Vale43%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Gillingham vs Port Vale: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals75.8% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Draw or Port Vale (X2)71.6% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.35
Likely
Over 1.5 goals68.4% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.38
Likely
Under 2.5 goals56.1% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams score: yes50.1% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.87
Possible
Both teams score: no49.9% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.91
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals43.9% · fair odds 2.28 · best 2.20
Outsider
Port Vale to win42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.29
Outsider
Draw28.9% · fair odds 3.46 · best 3.40
Outsider
Gillingham to win28.4% · fair odds 3.53 · best 3.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals24.2% · fair odds 4.13 · best 4.10
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.99 · Under 1.74
probability of over 46.6%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.00 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.4%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.9%
0 : 112.2%
1 : 09.5%
0 : 09.1%
1 : 28.7%
0 : 28.3%

Gillingham vs Port Vale: injuries, suspensions, absences

Gillingham

  • No reported absences

Port Vale

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Gillingham vs Port Vale: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Gillingham

31 OctWShrewsbury 1–2 Gillingham
24 OctLGillingham 1–4 Grimsby
20 OctDGillingham 1–1 Port Vale
17 OctLAccrington ST 3–1 Gillingham
10 OctWRotherham 1–4 Gillingham

Port Vale

31 OctWPort Vale 4–2 Rochdale
24 OctLYork 2–0 Port Vale
20 OctDGillingham 1–1 Port Vale
17 OctWPort Vale 1–0 Chesterfield
10 OctWPort Vale 1–0 Grimsby

Home and away

Gillingham at home7 matches: 2W 3D 2L, goals 8–9
Port Vale away6 matches: 0W 1D 5L, goals 2–11

Gillingham vs Port Vale: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Gillingham: 8th, 20 points from 14 matches (5W 5D 4L). Port Vale: 18th, 15 points (4W 3D 5L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.9%). We see a fairly level contest.

The two signals clash: on table position the Gillingham look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the away side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 44%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 44%.
  2. Not available: Gillingham 0, Port Vale 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 50%, odds up to 1.87). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Gillingham: no absences. Not available for Port Vale: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.8%

Gillingham vs Port Vale: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Gillingham vs Port Vale?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Port Vale (X2) (1.35); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Port Vale (X2).

Who will win Gillingham vs Port Vale?

As we see it: Gillingham to win 28%, the draw 29%, Port Vale to win 43%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

20 October 2026, 20:00, at Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham.

Who will be missing?

Gillingham: no absences. Port Vale: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 44% chance (odds 2.20), against 56% for under 2.5 (odds 1.70).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 1.87).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.9%), 0–1 (12.2%), 1–0 (9.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.