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League Two · Matchweek 12 · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

York vs Accrington ST tip, odds and prediction, 20 October 2026, League Two

LLWDD
1–1
1York1.77
XDraw5.25
2Accrington ST9.00

Top odds available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

York and Accrington ST meet on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at York Community Stadium (York), under referee D. Brown. York (64%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

York vs Accrington ST: tip and prediction
Result
York to win
1.77
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.55
Combo
York & over 2.5 goals
2.24
45% · fair combo odds
64%chance of the result
61%goals tip: chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: York or draw (1X) – probability 85%, odds up to 1.14.

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York vs Accrington ST: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.775.259.00
Market average1.454.546.43
Lowest odds1.293.423.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1580.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.601.5459.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.352.2940.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.502.3839.0%
BTTS – yes1.831.7453.4%
BTTS – no2.101.9946.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: York 2–0 Accrington ST, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: York 7th (20 points), Accrington ST 9th (19 points).
  • Absences: York 0, Accrington ST 0.

Who will win York vs Accrington ST?

York64%
Draw21%
Accrington ST15%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

York vs Accrington ST: more betting markets

York or draw (1X)84.9% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 1.5 goals80.3% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.19
Likely
York to win64.3% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.77
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.0% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.55
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.7% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.60
Possible
Both teams score: yes53.4% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.83
Possible
Both teams score: no46.6% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.3% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.35
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.0% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.50
Outsider
Draw20.6% · fair odds 4.86 · best 5.25
Outsider
Accrington ST to win15.1% · fair odds 6.61 · best 9.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.06
probability of over 54.9%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 010.4%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 09.7%
1 : 19.2%
3 : 07.5%
3 : 17.1%

York vs Accrington ST: injuries, suspensions, absences

York

  • No reported absences

Accrington ST

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

York vs Accrington ST: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

York

31 OctLGrimsby 5–2 York
27 OctLBarnet 3–1 York
24 OctWYork 2–0 Port Vale
20 OctDYork 1–1 Accrington ST
17 OctDNewport County 1–1 York

Accrington ST

31 OctDAccrington ST 1–1 Northampton
24 OctWRochdale 0–5 Accrington ST
20 OctDYork 1–1 Accrington ST
17 OctWAccrington ST 3–1 Gillingham
10 OctDOldham 0–0 Accrington ST

Home and away

York at home7 matches: 5W 2D 0L, goals 16–5
Accrington ST away7 matches: 1W 3D 3L, goals 10–9

York vs Accrington ST: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. York: 7th, 20 points from 14 matches (5W 5D 4L). Accrington ST: 9th, 19 points (4W 7D 3L).

What to expect

We make York the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
  2. Not available: York 0, Accrington ST 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.60). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for York: no absences. Not available for Accrington ST: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.5%

York vs Accrington ST: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for York vs Accrington ST?

On the result, our pick is York to win (1.77); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for York or draw (1X).

Who will win York vs Accrington ST?

As we see it: York to win 64%, the draw 21%, Accrington ST to win 15%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

20 October 2026, 19:45, at York Community Stadium, York. Referee: D. Brown.

Who will be missing?

York: no absences. Accrington ST: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.60), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.35).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.83).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.9%), 1–0 (9.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.