Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Port Vale entertain Rochdale on 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at Vale Park (Stoke-On-Trent), with E. Heaslip the man in the middle. Port Vale (57%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.65 | 3.95 | 5.66 |
| Market average | 1.63 | 3.75 | 5.13 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.26 | 4.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.28 | 72.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.93 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.83 | 51.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.28 | 28.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.93 | 1.90 | 48.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.81 | 51.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 09:43. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Port Vale 1–0 Rochdale, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Port Vale 18th (15 points), Rochdale 19th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Port Vale 3W 3D 5L (6:12), Rochdale 4W 3D 6L (15:22).
- H2H: 15 matches: Port Vale 7W 3D 5L, goals 24–21.
- Absences: Port Vale 0, Rochdale 0.
Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Port Vale vs Rochdale: injuries, suspensions, absences
Port Vale
- No reported absences
Rochdale
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Port Vale
Home and away
Port Vale vs Rochdale: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Port Vale: 18th, 15 points from 12 matches (4W 3D 5L). Rochdale: 19th, 15 points (4W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Port Vale 0.5 scored and 1.1 conceded, Rochdale 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Port Vale: 3W 3D 5L, goals 6–12; Rochdale: 4W 3D 6L, goals 15–22.
- Head to head. Head to head over 15 meetings: Port Vale 7 wins, Rochdale 5 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 24–21.
What to expect
We make Port Vale the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.88), with a probability of 51% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 15; Port Vale 7 wins, 3 draws, Rochdale 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Port Vale 6–12, Rochdale 15–22.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Not available: Port Vale 0, Rochdale 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.87). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Port Vale: no absences. Not available for Rochdale: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Port ValeWLDWWRochdaleLLDLDPort Vale vs Rochdale: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Port Vale vs Rochdale: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Port Vale vs Rochdale?
On the result, our pick is Port Vale to win (1.65); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.88). Prefer less risk? Go for Port Vale or draw (1X).
Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?
As we see it: Port Vale to win 57%, the draw 25%, Rochdale to win 18%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 12:30, at Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: E. Heaslip.
Who will be missing?
Port Vale: no absences. Rochdale: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 1.97), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.88).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.93).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (12.4%), 1–1 (11.1%), 2–0 (10.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.