Bet with MINO CASINO →Villarreal entertain Paris Saint Germain on 3 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal), with Felix Zwayer the man in the middle. Paris Saint Germain (60%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.05 | 4.81 | 1.65 |
| Market average | 4.84 | 4.60 | 1.59 |
| Lowest odds | 4.09 | 4.11 | 1.57 |
| Megapari | 5.02 | 4.88 | 1.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 86.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.35 | 69.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.28 | 3.13 | 30.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.90 | 50.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.41 | 66.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.76 | 33.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.3%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Villarreal 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Villarreal 19th (3 points), Paris Saint Germain 1st (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Villarreal 1W 0D 2L (8:8), Paris Saint Germain 3W 0D 0L (14:5).
- Absences: Villarreal 4, Paris Saint Germain 5.
Who will win Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain: injuries, suspensions, absences
Villarreal
- I. Akhomachmuscle injury · doubtful
- J. Foythmuscle injury · doubtful
- G. Morenoinjury · doubtful
- N. Salibainjury · doubtful
Paris Saint Germain
- O. Dembelethigh injury · will miss the match
- K. Kvaratskheliaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Longoniinjury · will miss the match
- Marquinhosthigh injury · will miss the match
- N. Mendesmuscle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Villarreal
Home and away
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Villarreal: 19th, 3 points from 3 matches (1W 0D 2L). Paris Saint Germain: 1st, 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Villarreal 2.7 scored and 2.7 conceded, Paris Saint Germain 4.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Villarreal: 1W 0D 2L, goals 8–8; Paris Saint Germain: 3W 0D 0L, goals 14–5.
What to expect
We make Paris Saint Germain the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.98), with a probability of 50% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 66% and over 2.5 goals is 70%.
Main points of the prediction
- This competition, scored–conceded: Villarreal 8–8, Paris Saint Germain 14–5.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 70%.
- Not available: Villarreal 4, Paris Saint Germain 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, odds up to 1.99). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Villarreal: I. Akhomach, J. Foyth, G. Moreno, N. Saliba. Not available for Paris Saint Germain: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos, N. Mendes. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
VillarrealLWLParis Saint GermainWWWReturns calculator
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
On the result, our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win (1.65); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.98). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Paris Saint Germain (X2).
Who will win Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
As we see it: Villarreal to win 20%, the draw 21%, Paris Saint Germain to win 60%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
3 November 2026, 20:00, at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Referee: Felix Zwayer.
Who will be missing?
Villarreal: I. Akhomach, J. Foyth, G. Moreno, N. Saliba. Paris Saint Germain: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos, N. Mendes. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 70% chance (odds 1.36), against 30% for under 2.5 (odds 3.28).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 66% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.4%), 1–1 (8.2%), 0–2 (7.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.