Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Villarreal entertain Espanyol on 30 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal), with José María Sánchez Martínez the man in the middle. Villarreal (68%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.45 | 5.43 | 7.63 |
| Market average | 1.40 | 5.15 | 6.95 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.45 | 5.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.82 | 2.75 | 34.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.12 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.26 | 2.21 | 42.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Villarreal 2–1 Espanyol, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Villarreal 8th (12 points), Espanyol 14th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Villarreal 3W 3D 4L (15:14), Espanyol 2W 2D 6L (12:14).
- H2H: 29 matches: Villarreal 14W 10D 5L, goals 45–28.
- Absences: Villarreal 3, Espanyol 5.
Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Villarreal vs Espanyol: injuries, suspensions, absences
Villarreal
- I. Akhomachmuscle injury · will miss the match
- P. Gueyered card · will miss the match
- N. Salibainjury · will miss the match
Espanyol
- K. Garciahamstring injury · will miss the match
- U. Gonzalezabsence · will miss the match
- A. Gorosabelabsence · will miss the match
- Jofregroin injury · will miss the match
- C. Riedelabsence · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Villarreal
Home and away
Villarreal vs Espanyol: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Villarreal: 8th, 12 points from 11 matches (3W 3D 5L). Espanyol: 14th, 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Villarreal 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded, Espanyol 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Villarreal: 3W 3D 4L, goals 15–14; Espanyol: 2W 2D 6L, goals 12–14.
- Head to head. Head to head over 29 meetings: Villarreal 14 wins, Espanyol 5 wins, plus 10 draws; goals 45–28.
What to expect
We make Villarreal the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 66%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 29; Villarreal 14 wins, 10 draws, Espanyol 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Villarreal 15–14, Espanyol 12–14.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 66%.
- Not available: Villarreal 3, Espanyol 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Villarreal: I. Akhomach, P. Gueye, N. Saliba. Not available for Espanyol: K. Garcia, U. Gonzalez, A. Gorosabel, Jofre, C. Riedel. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
VillarrealLWDLWEspanyolWLLDLVillarreal vs Espanyol: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Villarreal vs Espanyol: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Villarreal vs Espanyol?
On the result, our pick is Villarreal to win (1.45); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Villarreal or draw (1X).
Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?
As we see it: Villarreal to win 68%, the draw 18%, Espanyol to win 14%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
30 October 2026, 20:00, at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez.
Who will be missing?
Villarreal: I. Akhomach, P. Gueye, N. Saliba. Espanyol: K. Garcia, U. Gonzalez, A. Gorosabel, Jofre, C. Riedel. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 66% chance (odds 1.47), against 34% for under 2.5 (odds 2.82).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.6%), 2–0 (9.6%), 1–1 (8.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.