Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Vålerenga and Tromsø meet on 1 November 2026 · 18:15 at Intility Arena (Oslo), under referee Marius Hansen Grotta. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.43 | 4.01 | 2.84 |
| Market average | 2.31 | 3.78 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.49 | 2.43 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 83.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.43 | 65.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.69 | 34.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.10 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.38 | 66.9% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.81 | 33.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Vålerenga 1–1 Tromsø, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Vålerenga 8th (32 points), Tromsø 6th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: Vålerenga 8W 5D 11L (39:46), Tromsø 11W 7D 6L (43:34).
- H2H: 21 matches: Vålerenga 9W 6D 6L, goals 32–25.
- Absences: Vålerenga 3, Tromsø 3.
Who will win Vålerenga vs Tromsø?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: injuries, suspensions, absences
Vålerenga
- C. Langeabsence · will miss the match
- E. Rashaniinjury · will miss the match
- K. Finnssoninjury · doubtful
Tromsø
- T. Nyhammerabsence · will miss the match
- S. Prestmoinjury · will miss the match
- M. Tonnessenthigh injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 | |
| 2 | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 | |
| 3 | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 | |
| 4 | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 | |
| 5 | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 | |
| 6 | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 | |
| 7 | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 | |
| 8 | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 | |
| 9 | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 | |
| 10 | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 | |
| 11 | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 | |
| 13 | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 | |
| 14 | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 | |
| 15 | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 | |
| 16 | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Vålerenga
Home and away
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Vålerenga: 8th, 32 points from 25 matches (9W 5D 11L). Tromsø: 6th, 40 points (11W 7D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Vålerenga 1.6 scored and 1.9 conceded, Tromsø 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Vålerenga: 8W 5D 11L, goals 39–46; Tromsø: 11W 7D 6L, goals 43–34.
- Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: Vålerenga 9 wins, Tromsø 6 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 32–25.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (9.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Tromsø look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 67% and over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 21; Vålerenga 9 wins, 6 draws, Tromsø 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Vålerenga 39–46, Tromsø 43–34.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Not available: Vålerenga 3, Tromsø 3.
Alternative tip: Vålerenga or draw (1X)
Other option: Vålerenga or draw (1X) (probability 65%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Vålerenga: C. Lange, E. Rashani, K. Finnsson. Not available for Tromsø: T. Nyhammer, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Vålerenga vs Tromsø?
On the result, our pick is Vålerenga or draw (1X) (1.50); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Vålerenga or draw (1X).
Who will win Vålerenga vs Tromsø?
As we see it: Vålerenga to win 40%, the draw 25%, Tromsø to win 35%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 18:15, at Intility Arena, Oslo. Referee: Marius Hansen Grotta.
Who will be missing?
Vålerenga: C. Lange, E. Rashani, K. Finnsson. Tromsø: T. Nyhammer, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 65% chance (odds 1.50), against 35% for under 2.5 (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 67% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (9.8%), 2–1 (8.6%), 1–2 (7.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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