Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Leganés entertain Mallorca on 24 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganés), with O. Rivera Olmedo the man in the middle. Mallorca (49%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Leganés vs Mallorca: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.54 | 3.50 | 2.18 |
| Market average | 4.11 | 3.29 | 1.94 |
| Lowest odds | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.36 | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.18 | 43.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.67 | 56.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.87 | 24.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.93 | 1.91 | 48.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.82 | 1.80 | 51.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 14:13. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Leganés 0–1 Mallorca, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Leganés 17th (12 points), Mallorca 8th (19 points).
- H2H: 7 matches: Leganés 1W 3D 3L, goals 3–5.
- Absences: Leganés 0, Mallorca 0.
Who will win Leganés vs Mallorca?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Leganés vs Mallorca: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Leganés vs Mallorca: injuries, suspensions, absences
Leganés
- No reported absences
Mallorca
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Leganés vs Mallorca: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 6 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 11 | 5-4-2 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 11 | 5-3-3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4-2-5 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 11 | 3-3-5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 17 | Leganés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 7:16 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Leganés
Home and away
Leganés vs Mallorca: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Leganés: 17th, 12 points from 11 matches (3W 3D 5L). Mallorca: 8th, 19 points (5W 4D 2L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 7 meetings: Leganés 1 win, Mallorca 3 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 3–5.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (13.2%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 43%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 7; Leganés 1 win, 3 draws, Mallorca 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.1 per match.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 43%.
- Not available: Leganés 0, Mallorca 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.82). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Leganés: no absences. Not available for Mallorca: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Leganés vs Mallorca: head to head
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Leganés vs Mallorca: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Leganés vs Mallorca?
On the result, our pick is Mallorca to win (2.18); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.76). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Mallorca (X2).
Who will win Leganés vs Mallorca?
As we see it: Leganés to win 23%, the draw 29%, Mallorca to win 49%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 15:15, at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés. Referee: O. Rivera Olmedo.
Who will be missing?
Leganés: no absences. Mallorca: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 43% chance (odds 2.30), against 57% for under 2.5 (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.93).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–1 (13.2%), 1–1 (12.5%), 0–2 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.