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Chance Liga · Matchweek 14 · 8 November 2026 · 17:00

Plzeň vs Sparta Praha tip, odds and prediction, 8 November 2026, Chance Liga

WLWWL
VS
1Plzeň2.55
XDraw3.57
2Sparta Praha2.69

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:53

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Plzeň entertain Sparta Praha on 8 November 2026 · 17:00 at Doosan Arena (Plzeň). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Plzeň or draw (1X)
1.50
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
64%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.553.572.69
Market average2.453.512.62
Lowest odds2.393.302.58
Megapari2.393.562.58
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.1977.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.721.6656.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.192.1743.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.792.6235.5%
BTTS – yes1.571.5560.1%
BTTS – no2.372.3339.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:53. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.5%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Plzeň 1–1 Sparta Praha, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Plzeň 9th (19 points), Sparta Praha 4th (23 points).
  • Form in the competition: Plzeň 4W 4D 4L (24:21), Sparta Praha 7W 1D 4L (25:13).
  • H2H: 26 matches: Plzeň 13W 4D 9L, goals 40–29.
  • Absences: Plzeň 0, Sparta Praha 0.

Who will win Plzeň vs Sparta Praha?

Plzeň38%
Draw27%
Sparta Praha36%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals77.9% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.24
Likely
Plzeň or draw (1X)64.5% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.5% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.1% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals56.7% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.72
Possible
Under 2.5 goals43.3% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.19
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.9% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.37
Outsider
Plzeň to win38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.55
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.5% · fair odds 2.82 · best 2.79
Outsider
Sparta Praha to win35.5% · fair odds 2.82 · best 2.69
Outsider
Draw26.5% · fair odds 3.77 · best 3.57
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.4%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 28.3%
1 : 07.9%
0 : 17.6%
2 : 26.2%

Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: injuries, suspensions, absences

Plzeň

  • No reported absences

Sparta Praha

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
9Plzeň135-4-428:2119
10Bohemians 1905124-5-313:1317
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis122-4-613:2210
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Plzeň

1 NovWBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
25 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
22 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
18 OctWFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň
15 OctLFerencvárosi TC 2–1 Plzeň

Sparta Praha

1 NovDBohemians 1905 0–0 Sparta Praha
25 OctWSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
22 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
15 OctDSparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrøm

Home and away

Plzeň at home7 matches: 2W 2D 3L, goals 12–12
Sparta Praha away7 matches: 2W 2D 3L, goals 9–7

Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Plzeň: 9th, 19 points from 13 matches (5W 4D 4L). Sparta Praha: 4th, 23 points (7W 2D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Plzeň 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded, Sparta Praha 2.1 scored and 1.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Plzeň: 4W 4D 4L, goals 24–21; Sparta Praha: 7W 1D 4L, goals 25–13.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 26 meetings: Plzeň 13 wins, Sparta Praha 9 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 40–29.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

The two signals clash: on table position the Sparta Praha look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 26; Plzeň 13 wins, 4 draws, Sparta Praha 9 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Plzeň 24–21, Sparta Praha 25–13.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
  5. Not available: Plzeň 0, Sparta Praha 0.

Alternative tip: Plzeň or draw (1X)

Other option: Plzeň or draw (1X) (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Plzeň: no absences. Not available for Sparta Praha: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: the numbers side by side

PlzeňSparta Praha
32%Form68%
45%Attack55%
10%Defence90%
38%Head to head62%
50%Goals50%
36.0%Overall64.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

PlzeňWLWWL
Sparta PrahaDWDWW

Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: head to head

All matches
13Plzeň
4Draws
9Sparta Praha
12/5/26 · Sparta Praha 0–0 Plzeň
22/2/26 · Plzeň 0–0 Sparta Praha
20/9/25 · Sparta Praha 2–1 Plzeň
27/4/25 · Plzeň 2–0 Sparta Praha
23/4/25 · Sparta Praha 1–0 Plzeň
30/3/25 · Sparta Praha 2–4 Plzeň

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.5%

Plzeň vs Sparta Praha: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Plzeň vs Sparta Praha?

On the result, our pick is Plzeň or draw (1X) (1.50); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Plzeň or draw (1X).

Who will win Plzeň vs Sparta Praha?

As we see it: Plzeň to win 38%, the draw 27%, Sparta Praha to win 36%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

8 November 2026, 17:00, at Doosan Arena, Plzeň.

Who will be missing?

Plzeň: no absences. Sparta Praha: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.72), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.19).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.4%), 2–1 (8.5%), 1–2 (8.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Artis vs Bohemians 1905 4 NovZlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.