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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 20:00

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia tip, odds and prediction, 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Panathinaikos1.57
XDraw4.50
2CSKA Sofia5.85

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:27

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Panathinaikos and CSKA Sofia meet on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Olympic Stadium of Athens (Athens). Panathinaikos (61%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: tip and prediction
Result
Panathinaikos to win
1.57
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
Combo
Panathinaikos & over 2.5 goals
2.45
41% · fair combo odds
61%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Panathinaikos or draw (1X) – probability 83%, odds up to 1.17.

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Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.574.505.85
Market average1.524.225.49
Lowest odds1.443.895.03
Megapari1.574.415.85
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.2078.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.701.6557.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.252.1943.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.672.5836.2%
BTTS – yes1.731.7254.1%
BTTS – no2.102.0245.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:27. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.7%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Panathinaikos 2–0 CSKA Sofia, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Panathinaikos 1st (6 points), CSKA Sofia 23rd (1 point).
  • Form in the competition: Panathinaikos 5W 3D 0L (18:10), CSKA Sofia 0W 1D 1L (3:4).
  • Absences: Panathinaikos 0, CSKA Sofia 0.

Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

Panathinaikos61%
Draw22%
CSKA Sofia17%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: more betting markets

Panathinaikos or draw (1X)83.1% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.0% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.22
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.8% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.50
Likely
Panathinaikos to win61.0% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.0% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams score: yes54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.73
Possible
Both teams score: no45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals43.0% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.2% · fair odds 2.77 · best 2.67
Outsider
Draw22.0% · fair odds 4.54 · best 4.50
Outsider
CSKA Sofia to win16.9% · fair odds 5.91 · best 5.85
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.97 · Under 1.75
probability of over 47.1%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 010.5%
1 : 010.5%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.9%
3 : 07.0%
3 : 16.6%

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: injuries, suspensions, absences

Panathinaikos

  • No reported absences

CSKA Sofia

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Panathinaikos

22 OctWKairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos
15 OctWPanathinaikos 2–1 Borac Banja Luka
27 AugWHradec Králové 1–2 Panathinaikos
20 AugDPanathinaikos 2–2 Hradec Králové
11 AugWCSKA 1948 1–2 Panathinaikos

CSKA Sofia

22 OctDFC Nordsjælland 2–2 CSKA Sofia
15 OctLCSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco

Home and away

Panathinaikos at home1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–1
CSKA Sofia away1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 2–2

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Panathinaikos: 1st, 6 points from 2 matches (2W 0D 0L). CSKA Sofia: 23rd, 1 point (0W 1D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Panathinaikos 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded, CSKA Sofia 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Panathinaikos: 5W 3D 0L, goals 18–10; CSKA Sofia: 0W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.

What to expect

We make Panathinaikos the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Panathinaikos 18–10, CSKA Sofia 3–4.
  2. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
  3. Not available: Panathinaikos 0, CSKA Sofia 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Panathinaikos: no absences. Not available for CSKA Sofia: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: the numbers side by side

PanathinaikosCSKA Sofia
93%Form7%
81%Attack19%
40%Defence60%
65.3%Overall34.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

PanathinaikosWW
CSKA SofiaDL

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.7%

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

On the result, our pick is Panathinaikos to win (1.57); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Panathinaikos or draw (1X).

Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

As we see it: Panathinaikos to win 61%, the draw 22%, CSKA Sofia to win 17%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

5 November 2026, 20:00, at Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens.

Who will be missing?

Panathinaikos: no absences. CSKA Sofia: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.70), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.25).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.73).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (10.5%), 1–0 (10.5%), 2–1 (9.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.