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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 15:30

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos tip, odds and prediction, 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Kairat Almaty5.70
XDraw4.15
2Panathinaikos1.68

Top odds available · Updated 22/10/26, 12:20

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Played: final score 1–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos takes place on 22 October 2026 · 15:30 at Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty); A. Lindhout will referee. We back Panathinaikos (58%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: tip and prediction
Result
Panathinaikos to win
1.68
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.86
Combo
Panathinaikos & over 2.5 goals
2.71
37% · fair combo odds
58%chance of the result
52%goals tip: chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Panathinaikos (X2) – probability 82%, odds up to 1.18.

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Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available5.704.151.68
Market average5.223.931.61
Lowest odds4.503.491.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2475.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.861.8152.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9847.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.102.9831.4%
BTTS – yes1.831.8051.6%
BTTS – no2.001.9248.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 12:20. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Kairat Almaty 0–1 Panathinaikos, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Kairat Almaty 31st (1 point), Panathinaikos 1st (6 points).
  • Absences: Kairat Almaty 0, Panathinaikos 0.

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Kairat Almaty18%
Draw24%
Panathinaikos58%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: more betting markets

Draw or Panathinaikos (X2)82.0% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.2% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.42
Likely
Panathinaikos to win58.1% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.68
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.86
Possible
Both teams score: yes51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.83
Possible
Both teams score: no48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals47.7% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.4% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw23.9% · fair odds 4.19 · best 4.15
Outsider
Kairat Almaty to win18.0% · fair odds 5.55 · best 5.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.82 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.3%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 111.2%
1 : 110.7%
0 : 210.4%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 36.4%
1 : 36.1%

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: injuries, suspensions, absences

Kairat Almaty

  • No reported absences

Panathinaikos

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Kairat Almaty

22 OctLKairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos
15 OctDRiga 1–1 Kairat Almaty

Panathinaikos

22 OctWKairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos
15 OctWPanathinaikos 2–1 Borac Banja Luka
27 AugWHradec Králové 1–2 Panathinaikos
20 AugDPanathinaikos 2–2 Hradec Králové
11 AugWCSKA 1948 1–2 Panathinaikos

Home and away

Kairat Almaty at home1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–5
Panathinaikos away1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Kairat Almaty: 31st, 1 point from 2 matches (0W 1D 1L). Panathinaikos: 1st, 6 points (2W 0D 0L).

What to expect

We make Panathinaikos the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
  2. Not available: Kairat Almaty 0, Panathinaikos 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.83). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Kairat Almaty: no absences. Not available for Panathinaikos: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

On the result, our pick is Panathinaikos to win (1.68); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.86). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Panathinaikos (X2).

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

As we see it: Kairat Almaty to win 18%, the draw 24%, Panathinaikos to win 58%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

22 October 2026, 15:30, at Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty. Referee: A. Lindhout.

Who will be missing?

Kairat Almaty: no absences. Panathinaikos: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.86), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.83).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–1 (11.2%), 1–1 (10.7%), 0–2 (10.4%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.