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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 17:45

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia tip, odds and prediction, 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1FC Nordsjælland1.43
XDraw5.20
2CSKA Sofia8.00

Top odds available · Updated 22/10/26, 16:28

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FC Nordsjælland entertain CSKA Sofia on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Right to Dream Park (Farum), with R. Jones the man in the middle. FC Nordsjælland (68%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: tip and prediction
Result
FC Nordsjælland to win
1.43
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.55
Combo
FC Nordsjælland & over 2.5 goals
2.06
48% · fair combo odds
68%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X) – probability 87%, odds up to 1.11.

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FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.435.208.00
Market average1.394.867.14
Lowest odds1.334.396.18
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1382.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5062.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.4937.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.342.2641.6%
BTTS – yes1.731.7054.5%
BTTS – no2.102.0445.5%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 16:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: FC Nordsjælland 2–0 CSKA Sofia, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: FC Nordsjælland 19th (2 points), CSKA Sofia 23rd (1 point).
  • Absences: FC Nordsjælland 0, CSKA Sofia 0.

Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

FC Nordsjælland68%
Draw19%
CSKA Sofia13%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: more betting markets

FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X)86.8% · fair odds 1.15 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.3% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
FC Nordsjælland to win67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.43
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.65
Possible
Both teams score: yes54.5% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.73
Possible
Both teams score: no45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.34
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals37.5% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw19.3% · fair odds 5.18 · best 5.20
Outsider
CSKA Sofia to win13.2% · fair odds 7.59 · best 8.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.09
probability of over 55.4%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 010.3%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 08.9%
1 : 18.5%
3 : 07.9%
3 : 17.5%

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: injuries, suspensions, absences

FC Nordsjælland

  • No reported absences

CSKA Sofia

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

FC Nordsjælland

1 NovLFC Nordsjælland 2–3 FC Midtjylland
25 OctDSilkeborg 1–1 FC Nordsjælland
22 OctDFC Nordsjælland 2–2 CSKA Sofia
18 OctDLyngby 3–3 FC Nordsjælland
15 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjælland

CSKA Sofia

22 OctDFC Nordsjælland 2–2 CSKA Sofia
15 OctLCSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco

Home and away

FC Nordsjælland at home1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 2–2
CSKA Sofia away1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 2–2

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. FC Nordsjælland: 19th, 2 points from 2 matches (0W 2D 0L). CSKA Sofia: 23rd, 1 point (0W 1D 1L).

What to expect

We make FC Nordsjælland the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.3%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
  2. Not available: FC Nordsjælland 0, CSKA Sofia 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for FC Nordsjælland: no absences. Not available for CSKA Sofia: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

On the result, our pick is FC Nordsjælland to win (1.43); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X).

Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

As we see it: FC Nordsjælland to win 68%, the draw 19%, CSKA Sofia to win 13%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

22 October 2026, 17:45, at Right to Dream Park, Farum. Referee: R. Jones.

Who will be missing?

FC Nordsjælland: no absences. CSKA Sofia: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.55), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.73).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (10.3%), 2–1 (9.7%), 1–0 (8.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.