Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Brighton v Crystal Palace takes place on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at American Express Stadium (Falmer); Robert Jones will referee. We back Brighton (66%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.51 | 4.93 | 7.07 |
| Market average | 1.45 | 4.77 | 6.61 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.36 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.08 | 44.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Brighton 2–0 Crystal Palace, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Brighton 3rd (19 points), Crystal Palace 18th (7 points).
- Absences: Brighton 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: injuries, suspensions, absences
Brighton
- No reported absences
Crystal Palace
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Brighton
Home and away
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Brighton: 3rd, 19 points from 9 matches (6W 1D 2L). Crystal Palace: 18th, 7 points (2W 1D 6L).
What to expect
We make Brighton the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Brighton 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Brighton: no absences. Not available for Crystal Palace: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Brighton vs Crystal Palace: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
On the result, our pick is Brighton to win (1.51); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Brighton or draw (1X).
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
As we see it: Brighton to win 66%, the draw 20%, Crystal Palace to win 14%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 14:00, at American Express Stadium, Falmer. Referee: Robert Jones.
Who will be missing?
Brighton: no absences. Crystal Palace: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.57), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.51).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.9%), 1–0 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.