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Segunda División · Matchweek 11 · 24 October 2026 · 17:30

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II tip, odds and prediction, 24 October 2026, Segunda División

1Las Palmas2.25
XDraw3.59
2Real Sociedad II3.33

Top odds available · Updated 24/10/26, 14:13

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II meet on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas), under referee P. Morales. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Las Palmas or draw (1X)
1.39
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.46
70%chance of the result
66%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.253.593.33
Market average2.193.463.13
Lowest odds2.103.303.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2177.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.781.7255.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.172.1045.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.942.7734.0%
BTTS – yes1.621.5858.9%
BTTS – no2.302.2541.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 14:13. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Las Palmas 1–1 Real Sociedad II, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Las Palmas 14th (14 points), Real Sociedad II 18th (11 points).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Las Palmas 3W 2D 0L, goals 5–2.
  • Absences: Las Palmas 0, Real Sociedad II 0.

Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?

Las Palmas43%
Draw27%
Real Sociedad II30%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals77.2% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.25
Likely
Las Palmas or draw (1X)70.1% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.39
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.0% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.46
Likely
Both teams score: yes58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals55.0% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.78
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.0% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.17
Outsider
Las Palmas to win42.9% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.25
Outsider
Both teams score: no41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.0% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.94
Outsider
Real Sociedad II to win29.9% · fair odds 3.34 · best 3.33
Outsider
Draw27.1% · fair odds 3.68 · best 3.59
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 49.9%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.63 · Under 2.24
probability of over 57.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.7%
2 : 19.0%
1 : 09.0%
1 : 27.6%
0 : 17.5%
2 : 06.9%

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: injuries, suspensions, absences

Las Palmas

  • No reported absences

Real Sociedad II

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
6Girona126-3-322:1121
7Burgos126-3-317:1321
8Mallorca115-4-213:619
9Oviedo115-3-315:1218
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Córdoba125-1-619:2216
12Tenerife113-5-313:1514
13Eldense124-2-613:1714
14Las Palmas114-2-514:1914
15Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
16Valladolid113-3-516:1612
17Leganés113-3-57:1612
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz112-4-514:1410
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Las Palmas

24 OctWLas Palmas 1–0 Real Sociedad II
17 OctLLas Palmas 0–3 Castellón
11 OctLMallorca 3–1 Las Palmas
4 OctDLas Palmas 2–2 Valladolid
27 SeptLEibar 3–2 Las Palmas

Real Sociedad II

31 OctWReal Sociedad II 1–0 Girona
24 OctLLas Palmas 1–0 Real Sociedad II
17 OctLReal Sociedad II 2–4 Almería
10 OctLCelta de Vigo II 4–1 Real Sociedad II
4 OctLReal Sociedad II 2–3 Granada CF

Home and away

Las Palmas at home6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 6–8
Real Sociedad II away6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 9–12

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Las Palmas: 14th, 14 points from 11 matches (4W 2D 5L). Real Sociedad II: 18th, 11 points (3W 2D 7L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Las Palmas 3 wins, Real Sociedad II 0 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 5–2.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.7%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 5; Las Palmas 3 wins, 2 draws, Real Sociedad II 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 1.4 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
  4. Not available: Las Palmas 0, Real Sociedad II 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Las Palmas: no absences. Not available for Real Sociedad II: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: head to head

All matches
3Las Palmas
2Draws
0Real Sociedad II
24/10/26 · Las Palmas 1–0 Real Sociedad II
30/1/26 · Real Sociedad II 1–1 Las Palmas
12/9/25 · Las Palmas 2–1 Real Sociedad II
30/1/22 · Las Palmas 0–0 Real Sociedad II
29/10/21 · Real Sociedad II 0–1 Las Palmas

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?

On the result, our pick is Las Palmas or draw (1X) (1.39); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.46). Prefer less risk? Go for Las Palmas or draw (1X).

Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?

As we see it: Las Palmas to win 43%, the draw 27%, Real Sociedad II to win 30%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

24 October 2026, 17:30, at Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas. Referee: P. Morales.

Who will be missing?

Las Palmas: no absences. Real Sociedad II: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.78), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.17).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.7%), 2–1 (9.0%), 1–0 (9.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.