Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
SC Paderborn 07 entertain Hamburger SV on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn), with Martin Petersen the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.46 | 3.86 | 2.92 |
| Market average | 2.39 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.61 | 58.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.29 | 41.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.51 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.46 | 37.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: SC Paderborn 07 1–1 Hamburger SV, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: SC Paderborn 07 14th (9 points), Hamburger SV 15th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: SC Paderborn 07 1W 2D 3L (5:9), Hamburger SV 3W 0D 3L (6:15).
- H2H: 16 matches: SC Paderborn 07 7W 2D 7L, goals 26–25.
- Absences: SC Paderborn 07 5, Hamburger SV 2.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: injuries, suspensions, absences
SC Paderborn 07
- N. Awortwie-Grantknee injury · will miss the match
- O. Batista Meierankle injury · will miss the match
- T. Gayretknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Hoffmeiermuscle injury · will miss the match
- S. Klaasmuscle injury · will miss the match
Hamburger SV
- N. Rembergknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Vuskovicabsence · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
SC Paderborn 07
Home and away
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. SC Paderborn 07: 14th, 9 points from 8 matches (2W 3D 3L). Hamburger SV: 15th, 9 points (3W 0D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: SC Paderborn 07 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded, Hamburger SV 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. SC Paderborn 07: 1W 2D 3L, goals 5–9; Hamburger SV: 3W 0D 3L, goals 6–15.
- Head to head. Head to head over 16 meetings: SC Paderborn 07 7 wins, Hamburger SV 7 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 26–25.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.0%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 16; SC Paderborn 07 7 wins, 2 draws, Hamburger SV 7 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: SC Paderborn 07 5–9, Hamburger SV 6–15.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Not available: SC Paderborn 07 5, Hamburger SV 2.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.53). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for SC Paderborn 07: N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier, T. Gayret, M. Hoffmeier, S. Klaas. Not available for Hamburger SV: N. Remberg, M. Vuskovic. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SC Paderborn 07DWDLWHamburger SVLLWWWSC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
On the result, our pick is SC Paderborn 07 or draw (1X) (1.47); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for SC Paderborn 07 or draw (1X).
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
As we see it: SC Paderborn 07 to win 40%, the draw 26%, Hamburger SV to win 34%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 14:30, at Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn. Referee: Martin Petersen.
Who will be missing?
SC Paderborn 07: N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier, T. Gayret, M. Hoffmeier, S. Klaas. Hamburger SV: N. Remberg, M. Vuskovic. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.68), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.0%), 2–1 (8.8%), 1–2 (8.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.