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Bundesliga · Matchweek 10 · 22 November 2026 · 14:30

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 tip, odds and prediction, 22 November 2026, Bundesliga

1FC Augsburg2.61
XDraw4.00
2FSV Mainz 052.61

Top odds available · Updated 1/11/26, 17:11

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FC Augsburg v FSV Mainz 05 takes place on 22 November 2026 · 14:30 at WWK Arena (Augsburg). We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2)
1.56
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.81
62%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.614.002.61
Market average2.553.902.53
Lowest odds2.503.802.45
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.121.1184.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.4465.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.762.7634.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.172.1445.3%
BTTS – yes1.401.3966.8%
BTTS – no2.852.8033.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 17:11. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: FC Augsburg 1–1 FSV Mainz 05, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: FC Augsburg 10th (9 points), FSV Mainz 05 9th (10 points).
  • Absences: FC Augsburg 0, FSV Mainz 05 0.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?

FC Augsburg38%
Draw25%
FSV Mainz 0538%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals84.7% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.12
Likely
Both teams score: yes66.8% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.40
Likely
Over 2.5 goals65.7% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.44
Likely
Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2)62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.56
Likely
Under 3.5 goals54.7% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.81
Possible
Over 3.5 goals45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.17
Outsider
FSV Mainz 05 to win37.9% · fair odds 2.64 · best 2.61
Outsider
FC Augsburg to win37.5% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.61
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.3% · fair odds 2.91 · best 2.76
Outsider
Both teams score: no33.2% · fair odds 3.01 · best 2.85
Outsider
Draw24.6% · fair odds 4.07 · best 4.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 19.6%
1 : 28.2%
2 : 18.2%
2 : 27.0%
0 : 15.7%
1 : 05.7%

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: injuries, suspensions, absences

FC Augsburg

  • No reported absences

FSV Mainz 05

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

FC Augsburg

31 OctLFC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg
24 OctDFC Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin
17 OctLSV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg
10 OctDFC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München
19 SeptLWerder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg

FSV Mainz 05

30 OctLSV Elversberg 4–1 FSV Mainz 05
24 OctLFSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen
17 OctWFC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05
10 OctLFSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen
19 SeptWBorussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05

Home and away

FC Augsburg at home5 matches: 1W 3D 1L, goals 9–7
FSV Mainz 05 away4 matches: 3W 0D 1L, goals 11–7

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. FC Augsburg: 10th, 9 points from 8 matches (2W 3D 3L). FSV Mainz 05: 9th, 10 points (3W 1D 4L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (9.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.81), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 67% and over 2.5 goals is 66%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 66%.
  2. Not available: FC Augsburg 0, FSV Mainz 05 0.

Alternative tip: Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2)

Other option: Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2) (probability 62%, odds up to 1.56). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for FC Augsburg: no absences. Not available for FSV Mainz 05: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.4%

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?

On the result, our pick is Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2) (1.56); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.81). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2).

Who will win FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?

As we see it: FC Augsburg to win 38%, the draw 25%, FSV Mainz 05 to win 38%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

22 November 2026, 14:30, at WWK Arena, Augsburg.

Who will be missing?

FC Augsburg: no absences. FSV Mainz 05: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 66% chance (odds 1.44), against 34% for under 2.5 (odds 2.76).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 67% (odds 1.40).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (9.6%), 1–2 (8.2%), 2–1 (8.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.