Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rayo Vallecano and Elche meet on 24 October 2026 · 13:00 at Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid), under referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain. Rayo Vallecano (54%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.82 | 3.96 | 4.78 |
| Market average | 1.77 | 3.85 | 4.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.73 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.25 | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.80 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.01 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.04 | 2.93 | 32.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.73 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.02 | 46.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 10:20. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Elche, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rayo Vallecano 11th (12 points), Elche 17th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Rayo Vallecano 2W 3D 3L (12:17), Elche 1W 4D 4L (11:17).
- H2H: 16 matches: Rayo Vallecano 5W 2D 9L, goals 18–29.
- Absences: Rayo Vallecano 5, Elche 1.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: injuries, suspensions, absences
Rayo Vallecano
- A. Batallaabsence · will miss the match
- P. Cissabsence · will miss the match
- Luiz Felipeknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Ntekaback injury · doubtful
- A. Ratiumuscle injury · doubtful
Elche
- M. Aguadoankle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Rayo Vallecano
Home and away
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Rayo Vallecano: 11th, 12 points from 10 matches (3W 3D 4L). Elche: 17th, 10 points (2W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Rayo Vallecano 1.5 scored and 2.1 conceded, Elche 1.2 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rayo Vallecano: 2W 3D 3L, goals 12–17; Elche: 1W 4D 4L, goals 11–17.
- Head to head. Head to head over 16 meetings: Rayo Vallecano 5 wins, Elche 9 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 18–29.
What to expect
We make Rayo Vallecano the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 16; Rayo Vallecano 5 wins, 2 draws, Elche 9 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Rayo Vallecano 12–17, Elche 11–17.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Not available: Rayo Vallecano 5, Elche 1.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Rayo Vallecano: A. Batalla, P. Ciss, Luiz Felipe, R. Nteka, A. Ratiu. Not available for Elche: M. Aguado. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Rayo VallecanoWLDDWElcheLWDDWRayo Vallecano vs Elche: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
On the result, our pick is Rayo Vallecano to win (1.82); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Rayo Vallecano or draw (1X).
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
As we see it: Rayo Vallecano to win 54%, the draw 25%, Elche to win 21%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 13:00, at Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid. Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Rayo Vallecano: A. Batalla, P. Ciss, Luiz Felipe, R. Nteka, A. Ratiu. Elche: M. Aguado. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.88), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 1–0 (11.2%), 2–1 (9.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.