Bet with MINO CASINO →Celta Vigo v Union St. Gilloise takes place on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos (Vigo). We back Celta Vigo (46%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.11 | 3.82 | 3.44 |
| Market average | 2.03 | 3.66 | 3.30 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.21 | 3.00 |
| Megapari | 2.20 | 3.78 | 3.21 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.67 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.19 | 43.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.63 | 35.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 59.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Celta Vigo 1–1 Union St. Gilloise, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Celta Vigo 25th (3 points), Union St. Gilloise 6th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Celta Vigo 1W 0D 2L (3:4), Union St. Gilloise 2W 1D 0L (8:1).
- Absences: Celta Vigo 0, Union St. Gilloise 0.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: injuries, suspensions, absences
Celta Vigo
- No reported absences
Union St. Gilloise
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Celta Vigo
Home and away
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Celta Vigo: 25th, 3 points from 3 matches (1W 0D 2L). Union St. Gilloise: 6th, 7 points (2W 1D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Celta Vigo 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded, Union St. Gilloise 2.7 scored and 0.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Celta Vigo: 1W 0D 2L, goals 3–4; Union St. Gilloise: 2W 1D 0L, goals 8–1.
What to expect
We make Celta Vigo the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Union St. Gilloise look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Main points of the prediction
- This competition, scored–conceded: Celta Vigo 3–4, Union St. Gilloise 8–1.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Not available: Celta Vigo 0, Union St. Gilloise 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Celta Vigo: no absences. Not available for Union St. Gilloise: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Celta VigoWLLUnion St. GilloiseWDWReturns calculator
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
On the result, our pick is Celta Vigo to win (2.11); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Celta Vigo or draw (1X).
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
As we see it: Celta Vigo to win 46%, the draw 26%, Union St. Gilloise to win 28%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
5 November 2026, 20:00, at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo.
Who will be missing?
Celta Vigo: no absences. Union St. Gilloise: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.71), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.24).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.3%), 2–1 (9.4%), 1–0 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.