Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Sheva takes place on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Merkur Spielarena (Düsseldorf); Mikola Balakin will referee. We back Union St. Gilloise (66%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.48 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 4.78 | 6.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.28 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.52 | 61.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.46 | 38.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.33 | 40.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.69 | 55.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.09 | 44.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 16:29. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Hapoel Beer Sheva, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union St. Gilloise 6th (7 points), Hapoel Beer Sheva 30th (1 point).
- H2H: 1 match: Union St. Gilloise 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
- Absences: Union St. Gilloise 0, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: injuries, suspensions, absences
Union St. Gilloise
- No reported absences
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Union St. Gilloise
Home and away
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Union St. Gilloise: 6th, 7 points from 3 matches (2W 1D 0L). Hapoel Beer Sheva: 30th, 1 point (0W 1D 2L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Union St. Gilloise 1 win, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 4–0.
What to expect
We make Union St. Gilloise the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; Union St. Gilloise 1 win, 0 draws, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 4.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: Union St. Gilloise 0, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.63). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Union St. Gilloise: no absences. Not available for Hapoel Beer Sheva: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: head to head
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Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
On the result, our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win (1.48); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Union St. Gilloise or draw (1X).
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
As we see it: Union St. Gilloise to win 66%, the draw 20%, Hapoel Beer Sheva to win 14%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
22 October 2026, 17:45, at Merkur Spielarena, Düsseldorf. Referee: Mikola Balakin.
Who will be missing?
Union St. Gilloise: no absences. Hapoel Beer Sheva: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.57), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (10.3%), 2–1 (9.8%), 1–0 (9.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.