Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo meet on 31 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid), under referee Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.59 | 3.34 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.48 | 3.18 | 2.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.36 | 2.96 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.37 | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.15 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 55.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.80 | 24.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.84 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 13:57. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rayo Vallecano 11th (12 points), Celta Vigo 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Rayo Vallecano 2W 3D 4L (12:20), Celta Vigo 2W 6D 2L (10:7).
- H2H: 21 matches: Rayo Vallecano 10W 6D 5L, goals 29–26.
- Absences: Rayo Vallecano 4, Celta Vigo 6.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: injuries, suspensions, absences
Rayo Vallecano
- A. Batallaabsence · will miss the match
- P. Cissabsence · will miss the match
- Luiz Felipeknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Ratiumuscle injury · doubtful
Celta Vigo
- H. F. Cuenca Martinezmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. El Abdellaouiknee injury · will miss the match
- B. Iglesiascalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Nunezgroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Romanknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Starfeltmuscle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Rayo Vallecano
Home and away
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Rayo Vallecano: 11th, 12 points from 10 matches (3W 3D 4L). Celta Vigo: 9th, 12 points (2W 6D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Rayo Vallecano 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded, Celta Vigo 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rayo Vallecano: 2W 3D 4L, goals 12–20; Celta Vigo: 2W 6D 2L, goals 10–7.
- Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: Rayo Vallecano 10 wins, Celta Vigo 5 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 29–26.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (13.0%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 44%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 21; Rayo Vallecano 10 wins, 6 draws, Celta Vigo 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Rayo Vallecano 12–20, Celta Vigo 10–7.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 44%.
- Not available: Rayo Vallecano 4, Celta Vigo 6.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.84). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Rayo Vallecano: A. Batalla, P. Ciss, Luiz Felipe, A. Ratiu. Not available for Celta Vigo: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Rayo VallecanoWLDDWCelta VigoLDWDWRayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
On the result, our pick is Rayo Vallecano or draw (1X) (1.42); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.76). Prefer less risk? Go for Rayo Vallecano or draw (1X).
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
As we see it: Rayo Vallecano to win 38%, the draw 30%, Celta Vigo to win 32%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 15:15, at Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid. Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid.
Who will be missing?
Rayo Vallecano: A. Batalla, P. Ciss, Luiz Felipe, A. Ratiu. Celta Vigo: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 44% chance (odds 2.23), against 56% for under 2.5 (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.84).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (13.0%), 1–0 (11.3%), 0–1 (10.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.