Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise and Cercle Brugge meet on 25 October 2026 · 18:15 at Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels), under referee Wesli De Cremer, Belgium. Union St. Gilloise (71%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.36 | 5.96 | 9.25 |
| Market average | 1.31 | 5.30 | 8.22 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 4.81 | 6.66 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.48 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.29 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Cercle Brugge, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union St. Gilloise 2nd (26 points), Cercle Brugge 17th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Union St. Gilloise 6W 2D 0L (22:4), Cercle Brugge 0W 3D 5L (9:16).
- H2H: 23 matches: Union St. Gilloise 12W 5D 6L, goals 42–31.
- Absences: Union St. Gilloise 0, Cercle Brugge 0.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: injuries, suspensions, absences
Union St. Gilloise
- No reported absences
Cercle Brugge
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 | Union St. Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 |  Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 |  Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 11 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 12 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 13 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 14 |  KV Mechelen | 9 | 2-3-4 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 9 | 1-1-7 | 3:19 | 4 |
Recent matches
Union St. Gilloise
Home and away
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Union St. Gilloise: 2nd, 26 points from 10 matches (8W 2D 0L). Cercle Brugge: 17th, 6 points (1W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Union St. Gilloise 2.8 scored and 0.5 conceded, Cercle Brugge 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Union St. Gilloise: 6W 2D 0L, goals 22–4; Cercle Brugge: 0W 3D 5L, goals 9–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 23 meetings: Union St. Gilloise 12 wins, Cercle Brugge 6 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 42–31.
What to expect
We make Union St. Gilloise the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (11.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 23; Union St. Gilloise 12 wins, 5 draws, Cercle Brugge 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Union St. Gilloise 22–4, Cercle Brugge 9–16.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: Union St. Gilloise 0, Cercle Brugge 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Union St. Gilloise: no absences. Not available for Cercle Brugge: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Union St. GilloiseWWDWWCercle BruggeWLLLDUnion St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: head to head
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Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
On the result, our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win (1.36); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Union St. Gilloise or draw (1X).
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
As we see it: Union St. Gilloise to win 71%, the draw 18%, Cercle Brugge to win 11%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 18:15, at Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels. Referee: Wesli De Cremer, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
Union St. Gilloise: no absences. Cercle Brugge: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.53), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.66).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (11.3%), 1–0 (9.6%), 2–1 (9.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.