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Bundesliga · Matchweek 10 · 20 November 2026 · 19:30

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln tip, odds and prediction, 20 November 2026, Bundesliga

1Bayern München1.09
XDraw17.50
21. FC Köln32.00

Top odds available · Updated 1/11/26, 17:11

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Bayern München and 1. FC Köln meet on 20 November 2026 · 19:30 at Allianz Arena (Munich). Bayern München (89%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: tip and prediction
Result
Bayern München to win
1.09
Goals
Both teams to score
1.85
Combo
Bayern München & over 2.5 goals
1.30
77% · fair combo odds
89%chance of the result
51%goals tip: chance
3–0likely score
≈ 5 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bayern München or draw (1X) – probability 96%, odds up to 1.02. The result alone pays short odds, so we would back a goals tip with it.

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Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.0917.5032.00
Market average1.0713.3526.40
Lowest odds1.0611.2523.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.041.0391.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.161.1382.5%
Under 2.5 goals5.505.3417.5%
Over 3.5 goals1.421.3967.9%
BTTS – yes1.851.8251.2%
BTTS – no1.951.9148.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 17:11. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bayern München 3–0 1. FC Köln, roughly 5 goals in total.
  • Table: Bayern München 1st (18 points), 1. FC Köln 13th (9 points).
  • Absences: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Köln 0.

Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?

Bayern München89%
Draw7%
1. FC Köln4%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: more betting markets

Bayern München or draw (1X)96.3% · fair odds 1.04 · best 1.02
Likely
Over 1.5 goals91.5% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.04
Likely
Bayern München to win89.0% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 2.5 goals82.5% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.16
Likely
Over 3.5 goals67.9% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.42
Likely
Both teams score: yes51.2% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams score: no48.8% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals32.1% · fair odds 3.11 · best 3.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals17.5% · fair odds 5.72 · best 5.50
Outsider
Draw7.3% · fair odds 13.65 · best 17.50
Outsider
1. FC Köln to win3.7% · fair odds 27.34 · best 32.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

3 : 09.8%
4 : 09.2%
2 : 07.8%
3 : 17.3%
4 : 16.9%
5 : 06.9%

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: injuries, suspensions, absences

Bayern München

  • No reported absences

1. FC Köln

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

Bayern München

31 OctDBayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund
25 OctWSC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern München
21 OctDBayern München 2–2 Arsenal
17 OctWBayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig
13 OctDViking 3–3 Bayern München

1. FC Köln

1 NovDUnion Berlin 1–1 1. FC Köln
24 OctD1. FC Köln 0–0 FC Schalke 04
16 OctLEintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FC Köln
11 OctW1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
19 SeptLHamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Köln

Home and away

Bayern München at home4 matches: 3W 1D 0L, goals 20–4
1. FC Köln away4 matches: 0W 1D 3L, goals 3–8

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Bayern München: 1st, 18 points from 8 matches (5W 3D 0L). 1. FC Köln: 13th, 9 points (2W 3D 3L).

What to expect

We make Bayern München the favourites. The projected scoreline is 4–1, close to 5 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 3–0 (9.8%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.09, so the goals markets are an option too: Both teams to score (odds 1.85), with a probability of 51% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 83%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 5 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 83%.
  2. Not available: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Köln 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 5 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Bayern München: no absences. Not available for 1. FC Köln: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.6%

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?

On the result, our pick is Bayern München to win (1.09); on goals, Both teams to score (1.85). Prefer less risk? Go for Bayern München or draw (1X).

Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?

As we see it: Bayern München to win 89%, the draw 7%, 1. FC Köln to win 4%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

20 November 2026, 19:30, at Allianz Arena, Munich.

Who will be missing?

Bayern München: no absences. 1. FC Köln: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 83% chance (odds 1.16), against 17% for under 2.5 (odds 5.50).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.85).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 3–0 (9.8%), 4–0 (9.2%), 2–0 (7.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.