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Bundesliga · Matchweek 10 · 21 November 2026 · 14:30

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 tip, odds and prediction, 21 November 2026, Bundesliga

1Bayer Leverkusen1.29
XDraw7.07
2SC Paderborn 0710.30

Top odds available · Updated 1/11/26, 17:11

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Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07 takes place on 21 November 2026 · 14:30 at BayArena (Leverkusen). We back Bayer Leverkusen (76%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: tip and prediction
Result
Bayer Leverkusen to win
1.29
Goals
Both teams to score
1.57
Combo
Bayer Leverkusen & over 2.5 goals
1.62
62% · fair combo odds
76%chance of the result
60%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X) – probability 90%, odds up to 1.08. The result alone pays short odds, so we would back a goals tip with it.

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Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.297.0710.30
Market average1.266.529.80
Lowest odds1.256.009.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.071.0588.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.281.2674.7%
Under 2.5 goals3.753.7125.3%
Over 3.5 goals1.751.7156.4%
BTTS – yes1.571.5560.0%
BTTS – no2.382.3340.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 17:11. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Paderborn 07, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points), SC Paderborn 07 14th (9 points).
  • Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?

Bayer Leverkusen76%
Draw15%
SC Paderborn 0710%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: more betting markets

Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X)90.2% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.08
Likely
Over 1.5 goals88.8% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.07
Likely
Bayer Leverkusen to win75.6% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.29
Likely
Over 2.5 goals74.7% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.28
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.0% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 3.5 goals56.4% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.75
Possible
Under 3.5 goals43.6% · fair odds 2.30 · best 2.25
Outsider
Both teams score: no40.0% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.38
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals25.3% · fair odds 3.95 · best 3.75
Outsider
Draw14.7% · fair odds 6.81 · best 7.07
Outsider
SC Paderborn 07 to win9.8% · fair odds 10.25 · best 10.30
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

2 : 18.5%
2 : 08.5%
3 : 18.2%
3 : 08.2%
4 : 16.0%
4 : 06.0%

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: injuries, suspensions, absences

Bayer Leverkusen

  • No reported absences

SC Paderborn 07

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

Bayer Leverkusen

31 OctLBayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
25 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 OctWOFI 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen
18 OctWBayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg
15 OctWLech Poznań 0–4 Bayer Leverkusen

SC Paderborn 07

31 OctDBorussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 SC Paderborn 07
24 OctWSC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV
17 OctDWerder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07
10 OctLSC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart
20 SeptWSC Paderborn 07 3–1 1899 Hoffenheim

Home and away

Bayer Leverkusen at home4 matches: 3W 0D 1L, goals 10–5
SC Paderborn 07 away4 matches: 0W 3D 1L, goals 2–5

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Bayer Leverkusen: 6th, 13 points from 8 matches (4W 1D 3L). SC Paderborn 07: 14th, 9 points (2W 3D 3L).

What to expect

We make Bayer Leverkusen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (8.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.29, so the goals markets are an option too: Both teams to score (odds 1.57), with a probability of 60% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 75%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 75%.
  2. Not available: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. Not available for SC Paderborn 07: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?

On the result, our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win (1.29); on goals, Both teams to score (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X).

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?

As we see it: Bayer Leverkusen to win 76%, the draw 15%, SC Paderborn 07 to win 10%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

21 November 2026, 14:30, at BayArena, Leverkusen.

Who will be missing?

Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. SC Paderborn 07: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 75% chance (odds 1.28), against 25% for under 2.5 (odds 3.75).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (8.5%), 2–0 (8.5%), 3–1 (8.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.