Played: final score 2–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Getafe entertain FC Lugano on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Coliseum (Getafe), with A. Karaoglan the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Getafe vs FC Lugano: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.28 | 3.24 | 3.91 |
| Market average | 2.15 | 3.13 | 3.55 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.40 | 66.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.26 | 41.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.63 | 58.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.50 | 4.25 | 22.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.95 | 47.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.83 | 1.77 | 52.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 16:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Getafe 1–0 FC Lugano, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Getafe 30th (1 point), FC Lugano 2nd (6 points).
- Absences: Getafe 0, FC Lugano 0.
Who will win Getafe vs FC Lugano?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Getafe vs FC Lugano: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Getafe vs FC Lugano: injuries, suspensions, absences
Getafe
- No reported absences
FC Lugano
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Getafe vs FC Lugano: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 7 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 | |
| 19 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
| 21 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
| 22 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 | |
| 23 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 | |
| 24 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 | |
| 25 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 26 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 27 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 | |
| 28 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 | |
| 29 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 | |
| 30 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 | |
| 31 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 | |
| 32 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 | |
| 33 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 34 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 | |
| 36 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
Getafe
Home and away
Getafe vs FC Lugano: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Getafe: 30th, 1 point from 2 matches (0W 1D 1L). FC Lugano: 2nd, 6 points (2W 0D 0L).
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (12.9%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the FC Lugano look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 67% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 48% and over 2.5 goals is 42%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 42%.
- Not available: Getafe 0, FC Lugano 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Other option: Under 2.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.74). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Getafe: no absences. Not available for FC Lugano: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Getafe vs FC Lugano: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Getafe vs FC Lugano?
On the result, our pick is Getafe or draw (1X) (1.32); on goals, Over 1.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Getafe or draw (1X).
Who will win Getafe vs FC Lugano?
As we see it: Getafe to win 44%, the draw 30%, FC Lugano to win 26%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
22 October 2026, 17:45, at Coliseum, Getafe. Referee: A. Karaoglan.
Who will be missing?
Getafe: no absences. FC Lugano: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 42% chance (odds 2.40), against 58% for under 2.5 (odds 1.74).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 48% (odds 2.00).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (12.9%), 1–1 (12.9%), 0–1 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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