Bet with MINO CASINO →Aston Villa entertain Sunderland on 21 November 2026 · 15:00 at Villa Park (Birmingham). Aston Villa (49%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Aston Villa vs Sunderland: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.02 | 3.82 | 3.90 |
| Market average | 1.96 | 3.62 | 3.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.26 | 74.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.85 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 2.00 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.08 | 30.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.69 | 54.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.07 | 45.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Aston Villa 1–1 Sunderland, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aston Villa 9th (12 points), Sunderland 20th (5 points).
- Absences: Aston Villa 0, Sunderland 0.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Aston Villa vs Sunderland: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Aston Villa vs Sunderland: injuries, suspensions, absences
Aston Villa
- No reported absences
Sunderland
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Aston Villa vs Sunderland: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Aston Villa
Home and away
Aston Villa vs Sunderland: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Aston Villa: 9th, 12 points from 9 matches (3W 3D 3L). Sunderland: 20th, 5 points (1W 2D 6L).
What to expect
We make Aston Villa the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.8%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Not available: Aston Villa 0, Sunderland 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Aston Villa: no absences. Not available for Sunderland: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Aston Villa vs Sunderland: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
On the result, our pick is Aston Villa to win (2.02); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Aston Villa or draw (1X).
Who will win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
As we see it: Aston Villa to win 49%, the draw 26%, Sunderland to win 25%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
21 November 2026, 15:00, at Villa Park, Birmingham.
Who will be missing?
Aston Villa: no absences. Sunderland: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.92), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.8%), 1–0 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.