Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Accrington ST and Northampton meet on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at The Crown Ground (Accrington). We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.45 |
| Market average | 2.21 | 3.16 | 3.25 |
| Lowest odds | 2.02 | 2.95 | 2.98 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.36 | 68.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.17 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.20 | 3.99 | 23.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.85 | 49.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 13:41. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Accrington ST 1–1 Northampton, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Accrington ST 9th (19 points), Northampton 20th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Accrington ST 4W 6D 3L (22:16), Northampton 3W 4D 4L (8:8).
- H2H: 12 matches: Accrington ST 3W 4D 5L, goals 13–19.
- Absences: Accrington ST 0, Northampton 0.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Northampton?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Accrington ST vs Northampton: injuries, suspensions, absences
Accrington ST
- No reported absences
Northampton
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Accrington ST
Home and away
Accrington ST vs Northampton: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Accrington ST: 9th, 19 points from 14 matches (4W 7D 3L). Northampton: 20th, 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Accrington ST 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded, Northampton 0.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Accrington ST: 4W 6D 3L, goals 22–16; Northampton: 3W 4D 4L, goals 8–8.
- Head to head. Head to head over 12 meetings: Accrington ST 3 wins, Northampton 5 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 13–19.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (13.0%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.67), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 43%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 12; Accrington ST 3 wins, 4 draws, Northampton 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Accrington ST 22–16, Northampton 8–8.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 43%.
- Not available: Accrington ST 0, Northampton 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 50%, odds up to 1.87). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Accrington ST: no absences. Not available for Northampton: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Accrington STDWDWDNorthamptonDWLWDAccrington ST vs Northampton: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Accrington ST vs Northampton: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Accrington ST vs Northampton?
On the result, our pick is Accrington ST or draw (1X) (1.37); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Accrington ST or draw (1X).
Who will win Accrington ST vs Northampton?
As we see it: Accrington ST to win 42%, the draw 29%, Northampton to win 29%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 15:00, at The Crown Ground, Accrington.
Who will be missing?
Accrington ST: no absences. Northampton: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 43% chance (odds 2.26), against 57% for under 2.5 (odds 1.67).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 1.87).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (13.0%), 1–0 (12.4%), 0–1 (10.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.