Bet with Mino Casino →Our tip for Utebo vs Sabadell (Copa del Rey, 18 November 2026, 18:00): At least one team fails to score at odds of 1.83. Second tip: Sabadell to win at odds of 1.75. The bookmakers' odds give Utebo 18%, the draw 26% and Sabadell 57%. The most likely score is 0–1.
Utebo vs Sabadell prediction and betting preview
Utebo welcome Sabadell to Campo Santa Ana in Utebo for a Copa del Rey round 128 tie on 18 November 2026, kick-off 18:00. Bookmakers price the visitors as the side to back at 57%, with the best available odds at 1.75. The real value for us lies in the goals market, which is where our top selection is found.
Main facts
- Likely result: Utebo 0–1 Sabadell, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Utebo 0, Sabadell 0.
Utebo's last five and a home game of contrasts
Across every competition, Utebo's recent run reads: a goalless draw at home to Arnedo, a 1-2 loss away at Barcelona B, a 1-1 home draw against UD Logroñés II, a 1-1 draw away at Náxara, and a 2-0 home win over Osasuna II. Those five games produced a single victory, three stalemates and a lone defeat, with five goals scored and four conceded. Both sides found the net in three of them, and just one of the five finished with more than 2.5 goals.
We like the most recent result most. A 2-0 win at home over Osasuna II is the best evidence Utebo have that they can score at Campo Santa Ana. The data we hold gives no league standings for Utebo, so none of this tells us where they sit in their own competition.
Utebo vs Sabadell: last matches of both teams
Utebo
Sabadell
Sabadell's away trips and the one clean sheet
Across all competitions, Sabadell played five matches: a 2-1 win away at AD Ceuta FC, a 1-0 loss away at Burgos, a 1-1 home draw against Tenerife, a 2-1 loss away at Albacete and a 0-0 home draw with Real Sociedad II. Their record reads as one win, two draws and two defeats, with four goals scored and five conceded. They went goalless in two of those five games and kept a clean sheet just once.
The picture is of a side that wins away occasionally but does not always find the net. Their back line is not the strongest part of the record, and that matters for the way we read the goal markets. We do not see Sabadell as a team that shuts games down.
Who will win Utebo vs Sabadell?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
No earlier meeting, no injury news
Utebo and Sabadell have never met before as far as our records show, so no head-to-head pattern can guide this pick. Neither team has any reported injuries or suspensions, leaving no lineup news to factor in. Both sides enter with the squads they currently field, and we accept the price as a fair reflection of that.
Utebo vs Sabadell: injuries, suspensions, absences
Utebo
- No reported absences
Sabadell
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
The 54% no-goal price and our main tip
Our top selection is that at least one side fails to find the net, priced at 1.83 with a 54% probability. It cashes on 0-1, 0-2, 0-0 and 1-0, but goes down on 1-1 and 1-2. Put simply, the only thing that sinks it is both teams scoring, and we are willing to take that exposure for a return that justifies the stake.
- Utebo have shut out the opposition twice across their previous five games.
- Sabadell have kept one clean sheet and gone two matches without scoring in their last five.
- Bookmakers put the chance of at least one side failing to score at 54%, with the best available price sitting at 1.83.
Backing the BTTS market at 2.15 doesn't look worthwhile to us: with a 46% chance of it landing, that price demands more than the risk justifies.
Utebo vs Sabadell: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 6.00 | 3.78 | 1.75 |
| Market average | 5.31 | 3.59 | 1.64 |
| Lowest odds | 4.48 | 3.39 | 1.55 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.34 | 68.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.09 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.67 | 55.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.33 | 3.67 | 25.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.83 | 1.71 | 54.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 4/11/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.0%.
Utebo vs Sabadell: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Score prediction
Our other tip: Sabadell to win
Our second pick is Sabadell to win at 1.75, which we rate at a 57% probability. Utebo have collected just one win from their last five outings, so we feel confident backing the away team to take the points. The bet cashes on 0-1, 0-2 and 1-2, and it fails on 1-0, 1-1 and 0-0. Should Utebo score first and Sabadell fail to reply, the slip is dead, but we are willing to take that risk at odds that still lean toward the visitors.
Additional selections to consider
- Sabadell +0 (Asian handicap) is priced at 1.23, giving a 76% chance. Backing Sabadell here means a win pays out, a draw gives the stake back, and only a loss costs you money. It is a careful option for anyone wanting to side with the away team.
- Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, chance 75%. The market anticipates three goals or fewer, and this pairs nicely with our primary selection.
The most probable correct score on the board is 0-1 to Sabadell, priced at 14.2%, and that outcome would land both our lead selection and our backup selection. A high-scoring game isn't what we're anticipating. Size your wagers conservatively, because the margin the bookmaker takes on the match result sits at 8.0%.
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Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for Utebo vs Sabadell?
At least one team fails to score (1.83); Sabadell to win (1.75).
Who will win Utebo vs Sabadell?
As we see it: Utebo to win 18%, the draw 26%, Sabadell to win 57%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 November 2026, 18:00, at Campo Santa Ana, Utebo.
Who will be missing?
Utebo: no absences. Sabadell: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 44% chance (odds 2.25), against 56% for under 2.5 (odds 1.77).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 46% (odds 2.15).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–1 (14.2%), 0–2 (11.7%), 1–1 (11.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.