Bet with Mino Casino →Our tip for Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena (Copa del Rey, 18 November 2026, 19:30): Deportiva Minera or draw (1X) at odds of 1.60. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.75. The bookmakers' odds give Deportiva Minera 29%, the draw 30% and FC Cartagena 40%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena prediction and betting preview
Deportiva Minera host FC Cartagena in the Copa del Rey round of 128 at Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán, with kick-off at 19:30 on 18 November 2026. We have no league table for either club in our data, so this preview rests on recent results and the prices on offer. The contrast in form is sharp. Minera arrive on a run of five straight wins in all competitions, while Cartagena have won only one of their last five, and a cup tie can reward exactly that kind of momentum.
Main facts
- Likely result: Deportiva Minera 1–1 FC Cartagena, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Absences: Deportiva Minera 0, FC Cartagena 0.
Minera's clean sweep against a stuttering Cartagena
Deportiva Minera's last five matches have produced five wins, ten goals scored and two conceded, with no goal conceded in four of them. The most eye-catching thing is how they have kept the back door shut. Their wins came against La Nucía, Castellonense, Yeclano, Cieza and Real Murcia II, so the run is not built on one soft opponent.
Cartagena's own five have been far messier. They have one win, two draws and two defeats, with seven goals scored and nine conceded. Their most recent results show the pattern: a 3-0 win over Europa FC, followed by a 4-1 defeat at Villarreal II, a 2-0 defeat at Real Madrid II, and a 2-2 draw at home to Sant Andreu. They failed to score in just one of their last five matches, so they usually find the net, but they leak plenty at the other end.
Who will win Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
No meeting on record and no absences to chew on
These two clubs have no earlier meeting on our books, so there is no head-to-head trend to lean on. Neither side has an absence reported, which means we can take both squads at full strength and judge the match on form and prices alone.
Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: injuries, suspensions, absences
Deportiva Minera
- No reported absences
FC Cartagena
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Why we back Minera or the draw
The bookmakers rate Cartagena as the favourites on the match result, and their prices reflect that. We still think the 1X is the sharper angle, because it asks the home side only not to lose, and the form behind it is hard to dismiss. Our main tip is Deportiva Minera or draw (1X) at odds 1.60, with a chance of 60%.
- Deportiva Minera have won all five of their last matches, the strongest run on either side here.
- Minera have lost none of their last five, so a defeat is not a pattern they have been showing lately.
- FC Cartagena have won only one of their last five matches, which is a thin base for an away favourite.
- The bookmakers put the 1X at a 60% chance, and at 1.60 the price is one we are happy to accept.
The 1X settles on the likeliest scores as follows. It wins on 1-1, 1-0 and 0-0, and it loses on 0-1, 1-2 and 0-2. That split tells us the bet depends on the home side avoiding a Cartagena win, which is exactly the risk we are prepared to carry.
Our other tip: Both teams to score
Our second tip is Both teams to score at odds 1.75, with a chance of 54%. Minera have failed to score in none of their last five matches, so their attack has been a constant. Cartagena have seen both teams score in three of their last five, and they have failed to score in only one. Those are the figures that persuade us the away side will find the net, while Minera's record suggests they will too.
On the likeliest scores, Both teams to score wins on 1-1 and 1-2, and it loses on 0-1, 1-0, 0-0 and 0-2. The two tips share the 1-1 outcome, so they are not fighting each other, but they do split on the single-goal results.
Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: last matches of both teams
Deportiva Minera
FC Cartagena
What the bookmakers expect from the goals
The market expects about one goal from each side, so roughly two in total. The over 2.5 goals line sits at a 47% chance, while the under 2.5 is at 53%, with best odds of 2.00 and 1.75 respectively. The most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 12.7%, 0-1 at 11.1% and 1-0 at 9.4%. The bookmaker margin on the match result is 9.6%, which is a fair bit of overround, so the prices are not as generous as they might look.
Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.15 | 3.00 | 2.27 |
| Market average | 3.13 | 3.00 | 2.26 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.30 | 71.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 2.00 | 46.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.75 | 53.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.50 | 26.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.75 | 53.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.03 | 2.01 | 46.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 13/11/26, 09:07. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 9.6%.
Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Score prediction
Other bets we like on this tie
If you want a safer number than the 1X, we would look at Draw or FC Cartagena (X2) at odds 1.33, with a chance of 71%. It gives up a good deal of return, but it covers the away side and the draw, and that is a cover that suits a team with one win in five. Our other option is the draw by itself at odds 3.00, a chance of 30%, for those who fancy a stalemate in a cup tie. It is a price we like more as a single bet than as part of a double, but it is a fair price on the bookmakers' own numbers.
Our closing view on Angel Celdran
Cartagena are the side the prices trust, and we understand why. Still, their recent form is far from convincing, while Minera have arrived on a run that the market only partly reflects. Our lead selection remains Deportiva Minera or draw at 1.60, backed by the second tip on both teams to score at 1.75. We would not back Cartagena to win at 2.27, because the recent five-match record does not support that price. A home side that is not ready to hand the tie away is the likelier story.
Match odds
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena?
Deportiva Minera or draw (1X) (1.60); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena?
As we see it: Deportiva Minera to win 29%, the draw 30%, FC Cartagena to win 40%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 November 2026, 19:30, at Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán, Cartagena.
Who will be missing?
Deportiva Minera: no absences. FC Cartagena: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 47% chance (odds 2.00), against 53% for under 2.5 (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.7%), 0–1 (11.1%), 1–0 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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