Bet with MINO CASINO →Union St. Gilloise v Genk takes place on 8 November 2026 · 17:30 at Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels). We back Union St. Gilloise (58%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.64 | 4.30 | 5.11 |
| Market average | 1.60 | 4.13 | 4.96 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| Megapari | 1.63 | 4.22 | 4.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.61 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.41 | 2.33 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.44 | 38.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.63 | 57.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.17 | 42.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:45. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Union St. Gilloise 2–1 Genk, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union St. Gilloise 2nd (26 points), Genk 6th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Union St. Gilloise 8W 2D 0L (29:7), Genk 4W 3D 3L (18:14).
- H2H: 17 matches: Union St. Gilloise 10W 2D 5L, goals 26–17.
- Absences: Union St. Gilloise 0, Genk 0.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: injuries, suspensions, absences
Union St. Gilloise
- No reported absences
Genk
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 | Union St. Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 |  Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 11 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 12 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 13 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 14 |  KV Mechelen | 9 | 2-3-4 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 9 | 1-1-7 | 3:19 | 4 |
Recent matches
Union St. Gilloise
Home and away
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Union St. Gilloise: 2nd, 26 points from 10 matches (8W 2D 0L). Genk: 6th, 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Union St. Gilloise 2.9 scored and 0.7 conceded, Genk 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Union St. Gilloise: 8W 2D 0L, goals 29–7; Genk: 4W 3D 3L, goals 18–14.
- Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: Union St. Gilloise 10 wins, Genk 5 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 26–17.
What to expect
We make Union St. Gilloise the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 17; Union St. Gilloise 10 wins, 2 draws, Genk 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Union St. Gilloise 29–7, Genk 18–14.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Not available: Union St. Gilloise 0, Genk 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Union St. Gilloise: no absences. Not available for Genk: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Union St. GilloiseWWDWWGenkLWWLDUnion St. Gilloise vs Genk: head to head
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Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
On the result, our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win (1.64); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.56). Prefer less risk? Go for Union St. Gilloise or draw (1X).
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
As we see it: Union St. Gilloise to win 58%, the draw 23%, Genk to win 19%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 17:30, at Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels.
Who will be missing?
Union St. Gilloise: no absences. Genk: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.65), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.41).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.65).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.