Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
KV Mechelen v Genk takes place on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen); Lothar D'hondt, Belgium will referee. We back Genk (49%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.92 | 3.78 | 1.97 |
| Market average | 3.61 | 3.64 | 1.92 |
| Lowest odds | 3.20 | 3.22 | 1.83 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.29 | 2.19 | 43.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.64 | 35.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 13:25. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: KV Mechelen 1–1 Genk, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: KV Mechelen 14th (9 points), Genk 6th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: KV Mechelen 1W 3D 4L (9:17), Genk 4W 3D 2L (18:13).
- H2H: 36 matches: KV Mechelen 9W 8D 19L, goals 41–62.
- Absences: KV Mechelen 0, Genk 0.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Genk?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
KV Mechelen vs Genk: injuries, suspensions, absences
KV Mechelen
- No reported absences
Genk
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 |  Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 11 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 12 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 13 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 9 | 2-3-4 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 9 | 1-1-7 | 3:19 | 4 |
Recent matches
KV Mechelen
Home and away
KV Mechelen vs Genk: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. KV Mechelen: 14th, 9 points from 9 matches (2W 3D 4L). Genk: 6th, 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: KV Mechelen 1.1 scored and 2.1 conceded, Genk 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. KV Mechelen: 1W 3D 4L, goals 9–17; Genk: 4W 3D 2L, goals 18–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 36 meetings: KV Mechelen 9 wins, Genk 19 wins, plus 8 draws; goals 41–62.
What to expect
We make Genk the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 36; KV Mechelen 9 wins, 8 draws, Genk 19 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: KV Mechelen 9–17, Genk 18–13.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Not available: KV Mechelen 0, Genk 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for KV Mechelen: no absences. Not available for Genk: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
KV MechelenWWDLLGenkLWWLDKV Mechelen vs Genk: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
KV Mechelen vs Genk: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for KV Mechelen vs Genk?
On the result, our pick is Genk to win (1.97); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.51). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Genk (X2).
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Genk?
As we see it: KV Mechelen to win 26%, the draw 26%, Genk to win 49%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 15:00, at Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen. Referee: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
KV Mechelen: no absences. Genk: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.70), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.29).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 1–2 (9.5%), 0–1 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.