Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Genk and Standard Liège meet on 25 October 2026 · 12:30 at Cegeka Arena (Genk), under referee J. Vergoote. Genk (55%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Genk vs Standard Liège: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.75 | 4.10 | 4.98 |
| Market average | 1.69 | 3.86 | 4.67 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.60 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.30 | 40.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.58 | 2.45 | 38.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Genk 1–1 Standard Liège, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Genk 6th (15 points), Standard Liège 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Genk 3W 3D 2L (16:12), Standard Liège 3W 2D 3L (13:13).
- H2H: 48 matches: Genk 16W 13D 19L, goals 54–64.
- Absences: Genk 0, Standard Liège 0.
Who will win Genk vs Standard Liège?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Genk vs Standard Liège: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Genk vs Standard Liège: injuries, suspensions, absences
Genk
- No reported absences
Standard Liège
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Genk vs Standard Liège: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 11 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 12 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 13 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 14 |  KV Mechelen | 9 | 2-3-4 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 9 | 1-1-7 | 3:19 | 4 |
Recent matches
Genk
Home and away
Genk vs Standard Liège: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Genk: 6th, 15 points from 10 matches (4W 3D 3L). Standard Liège: 9th, 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Genk 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded, Standard Liège 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Genk: 3W 3D 2L, goals 16–12; Standard Liège: 3W 2D 3L, goals 13–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 48 meetings: Genk 16 wins, Standard Liège 19 wins, plus 13 draws; goals 54–64.
What to expect
We make Genk the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 48; Genk 16 wins, 13 draws, Standard Liège 19 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Genk 16–12, Standard Liège 13–13.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Not available: Genk 0, Standard Liège 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.64). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Genk: no absences. Not available for Standard Liège: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Genk vs Standard Liège: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
GenkLWWLDStandard LiègeDLLLLGenk vs Standard Liège: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Genk vs Standard Liège: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Genk vs Standard Liège?
On the result, our pick is Genk to win (1.75); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Genk or draw (1X).
Who will win Genk vs Standard Liège?
As we see it: Genk to win 55%, the draw 24%, Standard Liège to win 20%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 12:30, at Cegeka Arena, Genk. Referee: J. Vergoote.
Who will be missing?
Genk: no absences. Standard Liège: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.64), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.9%), 1–0 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.