Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Südtirol and Sampdoria meet on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Druso (Bozen), under referee Valerio Crezzini, Italy. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.06 | 3.13 | 2.70 |
| Market average | 2.93 | 2.97 | 2.58 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 2.88 | 2.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.34 | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.10 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.70 | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.74 | 24.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.77 | 52.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.95 | 47.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 11:23. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Südtirol 1–1 Sampdoria, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Südtirol 10th (14 points), Sampdoria 19th (8 points).
- H2H: 8 matches: Südtirol 4W 2D 2L, goals 11–7.
- Absences: Südtirol 0, Sampdoria 0.
Who will win Südtirol vs Sampdoria?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: injuries, suspensions, absences
Südtirol
- No reported absences
Sampdoria
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Südtirol
Home and away
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Südtirol: 10th, 14 points from 10 matches (3W 5D 2L). Sampdoria: 19th, 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 8 meetings: Südtirol 4 wins, Sampdoria 2 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 11–7.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (13.0%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the Südtirol look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the away side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 45%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 8; Südtirol 4 wins, 2 draws, Sampdoria 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Not available: Südtirol 0, Sampdoria 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.83). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Südtirol: no absences. Not available for Sampdoria: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: head to head
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Südtirol vs Sampdoria: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Südtirol vs Sampdoria?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Sampdoria (X2) (1.42); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Sampdoria (X2).
Who will win Südtirol vs Sampdoria?
As we see it: Südtirol to win 32%, the draw 32%, Sampdoria to win 36%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 14:00, at Stadio Druso, Bozen. Referee: Valerio Crezzini, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Südtirol: no absences. Sampdoria: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 45% chance (odds 2.17), against 55% for under 2.5 (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.83).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (13.0%), 0–1 (11.3%), 1–0 (10.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.