Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Südtirol v Cesena takes place on 31 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Druso (Bozen); Davide Di Marco will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Südtirol vs Cesena: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.42 | 3.30 | 3.44 |
| Market average | 2.27 | 3.14 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.09 | 3.00 | 2.94 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.34 | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.11 | 44.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 55.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.72 | 25.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.94 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 07:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Südtirol 1–1 Cesena, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Südtirol 10th (14 points), Cesena 12th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Südtirol 3W 4D 2L (10:9), Cesena 2W 5D 2L (10:13).
- H2H: 8 matches: Südtirol 1W 5D 2L, goals 5–6.
- Absences: Südtirol 0, Cesena 0.
Who will win Südtirol vs Cesena?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Südtirol vs Cesena: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Südtirol vs Cesena: injuries, suspensions, absences
Südtirol
- No reported absences
Cesena
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Südtirol vs Cesena: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 | |
| 16 | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Südtirol
Home and away
Südtirol vs Cesena: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Südtirol: 10th, 14 points from 10 matches (3W 5D 2L). Cesena: 12th, 12 points (2W 6D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Südtirol 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded, Cesena 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Südtirol: 3W 4D 2L, goals 10–9; Cesena: 2W 5D 2L, goals 10–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 8 meetings: Südtirol 1 win, Cesena 2 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 5–6.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.8%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 45%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 8; Südtirol 1 win, 5 draws, Cesena 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.4 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Südtirol 10–9, Cesena 10–13.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Not available: Südtirol 0, Cesena 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.91). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Südtirol: no absences. Not available for Cesena: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Südtirol vs Cesena: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Südtirol vs Cesena: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Südtirol vs Cesena: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Südtirol vs Cesena?
On the result, our pick is Südtirol or draw (1X) (1.37); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Südtirol or draw (1X).
Who will win Südtirol vs Cesena?
As we see it: Südtirol to win 41%, the draw 30%, Cesena to win 30%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 14:00, at Stadio Druso, Bozen. Referee: Davide Di Marco.
Who will be missing?
Südtirol: no absences. Cesena: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 45% chance (odds 2.28), against 55% for under 2.5 (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.91).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.8%), 1–0 (11.6%), 0–1 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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