Bet with MINO CASINO →Ascoli and Palermo meet on 6 November 2026 · 19:30 at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno). We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Ascoli vs Palermo: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.79 | 3.48 | 2.52 |
| Market average | 2.71 | 3.41 | 2.48 |
| Lowest odds | 2.64 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| Megapari | 2.64 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.17 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.62 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.29 | 2.28 | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.65 | 2.48 | 37.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.52 | 1.49 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.45 | 37.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 02:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.6%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Ascoli 1–1 Palermo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ascoli 3rd (19 points), Palermo 1st (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Ascoli 5W 3D 1L (16:6), Palermo 7W 2D 0L (21:11).
- H2H: 8 matches: Ascoli 1W 2D 5L, goals 8–16.
- Absences: Ascoli 0, Palermo 0.
Who will win Ascoli vs Palermo?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Ascoli vs Palermo: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Ascoli vs Palermo: injuries, suspensions, absences
Ascoli
- No reported absences
Palermo
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Ascoli vs Palermo: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Ascoli
Home and away
Ascoli vs Palermo: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Ascoli: 3rd, 19 points from 10 matches (5W 4D 1L). Palermo: 1st, 26 points (8W 2D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Ascoli 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded, Palermo 2.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Ascoli: 5W 3D 1L, goals 16–6; Palermo: 7W 2D 0L, goals 21–11.
- Head to head. Head to head over 8 meetings: Ascoli 1 win, Palermo 5 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 8–16.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 8; Ascoli 1 win, 2 draws, Palermo 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Ascoli 16–6, Palermo 21–11.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Ascoli 0, Palermo 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.52). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Ascoli: no absences. Not available for Palermo: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Ascoli vs Palermo: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AscoliDWWDDPalermoWDWWWAscoli vs Palermo: head to head
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Ascoli vs Palermo: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Ascoli vs Palermo?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Palermo (X2) (1.47); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.52). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Palermo (X2).
Who will win Ascoli vs Palermo?
As we see it: Ascoli to win 35%, the draw 28%, Palermo to win 38%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
6 November 2026, 19:30, at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno.
Who will be missing?
Ascoli: no absences. Palermo: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.67), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.29).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.52).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 1–2 (8.7%), 2–1 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.