Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Padova entertain Südtirol on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio Comunale Euganeo (Padua), with Edoardo Manedo Mazzoni the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Padova vs Südtirol: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.36 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Market average | 2.13 | 3.08 | 3.59 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 2.93 | 2.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.19 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.66 | 56.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.11 | 3.89 | 24.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.86 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Padova 1–0 Südtirol, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Padova 9th (14 points), Südtirol 10th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Padova 3W 1D 4L (7:10), Südtirol 3W 4D 1L (10:7).
- H2H: 14 matches: Padova 5W 6D 3L, goals 13–9.
- Absences: Padova 0, Südtirol 0.
Who will win Padova vs Südtirol?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Padova vs Südtirol: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Padova vs Südtirol: injuries, suspensions, absences
Padova
- No reported absences
Südtirol
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Padova vs Südtirol: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Padova
Home and away
Padova vs Südtirol: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Padova: 9th, 14 points from 10 matches (4W 2D 4L). Südtirol: 10th, 14 points (3W 5D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Padova 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded, Südtirol 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Padova: 3W 1D 4L, goals 7–10; Südtirol: 3W 4D 1L, goals 10–7.
- Head to head. Head to head over 14 meetings: Padova 5 wins, Südtirol 3 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 13–9.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (12.9%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.72), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 43%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 14; Padova 5 wins, 6 draws, Südtirol 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Padova 7–10, Südtirol 10–7.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 43%.
- Not available: Padova 0, Südtirol 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 50%, odds up to 1.95). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Padova: no absences. Not available for Südtirol: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Padova vs Südtirol: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
PadovaDWWLLSüdtirolDLDLDPadova vs Südtirol: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Padova vs Südtirol: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Padova vs Südtirol?
On the result, our pick is Padova or draw (1X) (1.36); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.72). Prefer less risk? Go for Padova or draw (1X).
Who will win Padova vs Südtirol?
As we see it: Padova to win 44%, the draw 30%, Südtirol to win 26%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
27 October 2026, 19:00, at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua. Referee: Edoardo Manedo Mazzoni.
Who will be missing?
Padova: no absences. Südtirol: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 43% chance (odds 2.31), against 57% for under 2.5 (odds 1.72).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 1.95).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (12.9%), 1–1 (12.9%), 0–1 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.