Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Ascoli v Sampdoria takes place on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno); Marco Di Bello will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| Market average | 2.13 | 3.24 | 3.38 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.05 | 3.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.25 | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.90 | 49.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.12 | 29.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.10 | 44.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Ascoli 1–1 Sampdoria, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ascoli 3rd (19 points), Sampdoria 19th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Ascoli 4W 3D 1L (14:6), Sampdoria 1W 2D 5L (8:16).
- H2H: 4 matches: Ascoli 1W 2D 1L, goals 6–5.
- Absences: Ascoli 0, Sampdoria 0.
Who will win Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: injuries, suspensions, absences
Ascoli
- No reported absences
Sampdoria
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Ascoli
Home and away
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Ascoli: 3rd, 19 points from 10 matches (5W 4D 1L). Sampdoria: 19th, 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Ascoli 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded, Sampdoria 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Ascoli: 4W 3D 1L, goals 14–6; Sampdoria: 1W 2D 5L, goals 8–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Ascoli 1 win, Sampdoria 1 win, plus 2 draws; goals 6–5.
What to expect
We make Ascoli the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.2%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; Ascoli 1 win, 2 draws, Sampdoria 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Ascoli 14–6, Sampdoria 8–16.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Not available: Ascoli 0, Sampdoria 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Ascoli: no absences. Not available for Sampdoria: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AscoliDWWDDSampdoriaWLDLLAscoli vs Sampdoria: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
On the result, our pick is Ascoli or draw (1X) (1.33); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Ascoli or draw (1X).
Who will win Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
As we see it: Ascoli to win 44%, the draw 29%, Sampdoria to win 28%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
27 October 2026, 19:00, at Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno. Referee: Marco Di Bello.
Who will be missing?
Ascoli: no absences. Sampdoria: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.94), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.94).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.2%), 1–0 (10.6%), 2–1 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.