Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Modena entertain Cesena on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Alberto Braglia (Modena), with Dario Madonia the man in the middle. Modena (61%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Modena vs Cesena: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.57 | 4.34 | 6.15 |
| Market average | 1.53 | 4.17 | 5.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.19 | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.67 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.16 | 43.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.87 | 2.64 | 35.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.02 | 1.97 | 47.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 11:23. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Modena 2–0 Cesena, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Modena 2nd (20 points), Cesena 12th (12 points).
- H2H: 10 matches: Modena 4W 3D 3L, goals 9–6.
- Absences: Modena 0, Cesena 0.
Who will win Modena vs Cesena?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Modena vs Cesena: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Modena vs Cesena: injuries, suspensions, absences
Modena
- No reported absences
Cesena
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Modena vs Cesena: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 | Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Modena
Home and away
Modena vs Cesena: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Modena: 2nd, 20 points from 10 matches (6W 2D 2L). Cesena: 12th, 12 points (2W 6D 2L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 10 meetings: Modena 4 wins, Cesena 3 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 9–6.
What to expect
We make Modena the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.49), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 10; Modena 4 wins, 3 draws, Cesena 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.5 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Not available: Modena 0, Cesena 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 56%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Modena: no absences. Not available for Cesena: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Modena vs Cesena: head to head
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Modena vs Cesena: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Modena vs Cesena?
On the result, our pick is Modena to win (1.57); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.49). Prefer less risk? Go for Modena or draw (1X).
Who will win Modena vs Cesena?
As we see it: Modena to win 61%, the draw 22%, Cesena to win 16%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 14:00, at Alberto Braglia, Modena. Referee: Dario Madonia.
Who will be missing?
Modena: no absences. Cesena: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.75), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.27).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (10.5%), 1–0 (10.5%), 2–1 (9.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.