Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dundee and Kilmarnock meet on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Dens Park (Dundee). Dundee (50%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.92 | 3.95 | 3.90 |
| Market average | 1.88 | 3.75 | 3.81 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.61 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.31 | 41.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.59 | 2.49 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.31 | 2.28 | 40.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Dundee 1–1 Kilmarnock, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dundee 5th (17 points), Kilmarnock 11th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Dundee 4W 2D 4L (14:12), Kilmarnock 2W 2D 6L (10:23).
- H2H: 38 matches: Dundee 11W 17D 10L, goals 54–52.
- Absences: Dundee 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: injuries, suspensions, absences
Dundee
- No reported absences
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Dundee
Home and away
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Dundee: 5th, 17 points from 11 matches (5W 2D 4L). Kilmarnock: 11th, 9 points (2W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Dundee 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded, Kilmarnock 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Dundee: 4W 2D 4L, goals 14–12; Kilmarnock: 2W 2D 6L, goals 10–23.
- Head to head. Head to head over 38 meetings: Dundee 11 wins, Kilmarnock 10 wins, plus 17 draws; goals 54–52.
What to expect
We make Dundee the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 38; Dundee 11 wins, 17 draws, Kilmarnock 10 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Dundee 14–12, Kilmarnock 10–23.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Not available: Dundee 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Dundee: no absences. Not available for Kilmarnock: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
DundeeWLDWWKilmarnockDLLWLDundee vs Kilmarnock: head to head
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Dundee vs Kilmarnock: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
On the result, our pick is Dundee to win (1.92); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.54). Prefer less risk? Go for Dundee or draw (1X).
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
As we see it: Dundee to win 50%, the draw 25%, Kilmarnock to win 25%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 19:45, at Dens Park, Dundee.
Who will be missing?
Dundee: no absences. Kilmarnock: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.63), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.37).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.7%), 2–1 (9.6%), 1–0 (8.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.