Bet with MINO CASINO →Barcelona entertain Aston Villa on 3 November 2026 · 20:00 at Spotify Camp Nou (Barcelona), with Davide Massa the man in the middle. Barcelona (76%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Barcelona vs Aston Villa: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.27 | 7.50 | 11.50 |
| Market average | 1.24 | 6.91 | 9.57 |
| Lowest odds | 1.22 | 5.99 | 7.34 |
| Megapari | 1.28 | 6.80 | 11.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.04 | 90.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.19 | 78.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.50 | 4.31 | 21.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.53 | 36.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Barcelona 3–1 Aston Villa, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Barcelona 8th (6 points), Aston Villa 2nd (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Barcelona 2W 0D 1L (11:6), Aston Villa 3W 0D 0L (12:3).
- Absences: Barcelona 6, Aston Villa 4.
Who will win Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Barcelona vs Aston Villa: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Barcelona vs Aston Villa: injuries, suspensions, absences
Barcelona
- R. Bardghjiknee injury · will miss the match
- X. Espartankle injury · will miss the match
- E. Garciamuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Olmogroin injury · will miss the match
- A. Christensenmuscle injury · doubtful
- J. Koundeankle injury · doubtful
Aston Villa
- B. Madjonot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Onanaknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Ruggerimuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Wan-Bissakamuscle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Barcelona vs Aston Villa: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Barcelona
Home and away
Barcelona vs Aston Villa: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Barcelona: 8th, 6 points from 3 matches (2W 0D 1L). Aston Villa: 2nd, 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Barcelona 3.7 scored and 2.0 conceded, Aston Villa 4.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Barcelona: 2W 0D 1L, goals 11–6; Aston Villa: 3W 0D 0L, goals 12–3.
What to expect
We make Barcelona the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 3–1 (8.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.27, so the goals markets are an option too: Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 78%.
Main points of the prediction
- This competition, scored–conceded: Barcelona 11–6, Aston Villa 12–3.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 78%.
- Not available: Barcelona 6, Aston Villa 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Barcelona: R. Bardghji, X. Espart, E. Garcia, D. Olmo, A. Christensen, J. Kounde. Not available for Aston Villa: B. Madjo, A. Onana, M. Ruggeri, A. Wan-Bissaka. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Barcelona vs Aston Villa: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
BarcelonaLWWAston VillaWWWReturns calculator
Barcelona vs Aston Villa: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
On the result, our pick is Barcelona to win (1.27); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Barcelona or draw (1X).
Who will win Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
As we see it: Barcelona to win 76%, the draw 14%, Aston Villa to win 10%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
3 November 2026, 20:00, at Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona. Referee: Davide Massa.
Who will be missing?
Barcelona: R. Bardghji, X. Espart, E. Garcia, D. Olmo, A. Christensen, J. Kounde. Aston Villa: B. Madjo, A. Onana, M. Ruggeri, A. Wan-Bissaka. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 78% chance (odds 1.22), against 22% for under 2.5 (odds 4.50).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 3–1 (8.2%), 2–1 (8.1%), 3–0 (7.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.