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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 20:00

Riga vs FK Jablonec tip, odds and prediction, 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Riga2.38
XDraw3.45
2FK Jablonec3.15

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:27

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Riga and FK Jablonec meet on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Skonto stadions (Riga). We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Riga vs FK Jablonec: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Riga or draw (1X)
1.40
Goals
Both teams to score
1.73
69%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Riga vs FK Jablonec: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.383.453.15
Market average2.293.312.97
Lowest odds2.183.052.74
Megapari2.343.423.15
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.321.2972.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.971.9249.2%
Under 2.5 goals1.911.8650.8%
Over 3.5 goals3.403.2628.8%
BTTS – yes1.731.7154.5%
BTTS – no2.102.0445.5%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:27. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.6%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Riga 1–1 FK Jablonec, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Riga 21st (2 points), FK Jablonec 24th (1 point).
  • Form in the competition: Riga 4W 4D 0L (14:8), FK Jablonec 4W 1D 3L (12:8).
  • Absences: Riga 0, FK Jablonec 0.

Who will win Riga vs FK Jablonec?

Riga41%
Draw28%
FK Jablonec31%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Riga vs FK Jablonec: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals72.6% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.32
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.2% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.34
Likely
Riga or draw (1X)68.7% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.40
Likely
Both teams score: yes54.5% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.73
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.8% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.91
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.2% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.97
Outsider
Both teams score: no45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.10
Outsider
Riga to win40.6% · fair odds 2.46 · best 2.38
Outsider
FK Jablonec to win31.3% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.15
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.8% · fair odds 3.48 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw28.1% · fair odds 3.56 · best 3.45
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.82 · Under 1.87
probability of over 50.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.5%
1 : 010.4%
0 : 18.9%
2 : 18.7%
1 : 27.5%
0 : 07.4%

Riga vs FK Jablonec: injuries, suspensions, absences

Riga

  • No reported absences

FK Jablonec

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Riga vs FK Jablonec: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Riga

22 OctDPafos 1–1 Riga
15 OctDRiga 1–1 Kairat Almaty
27 AugWRiga 2–1 KÍ Klaksvík
20 AugDKÍ Klaksvík 0–0 Riga
13 AugDGyőri ETO FC 1–1 Riga

FK Jablonec

31 OctLFK Jablonec 0–5 Slavia Praha
25 OctWHradec Králové 1–2 FK Jablonec
22 OctDFK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
18 OctLFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň
15 OctLSC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec

Home and away

Riga at home1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1
FK Jablonec away1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–3

Riga vs FK Jablonec: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Riga: 21st, 2 points from 2 matches (0W 2D 0L). FK Jablonec: 24th, 1 point (0W 1D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Riga 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded, FK Jablonec 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Riga: 4W 4D 0L, goals 14–8; FK Jablonec: 4W 1D 3L, goals 12–8.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Riga 14–8, FK Jablonec 12–8.
  2. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
  3. Not available: Riga 0, FK Jablonec 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Riga: no absences. Not available for FK Jablonec: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Riga vs FK Jablonec: the numbers side by side

RigaFK Jablonec
50%Form50%
45%Attack55%
56%Defence44%
55.3%Overall44.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

RigaDD
FK JablonecDL

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Riga vs FK Jablonec: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Riga vs FK Jablonec?

On the result, our pick is Riga or draw (1X) (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Riga or draw (1X).

Who will win Riga vs FK Jablonec?

As we see it: Riga to win 41%, the draw 28%, FK Jablonec to win 31%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

5 November 2026, 20:00, at Skonto stadions, Riga.

Who will be missing?

Riga: no absences. FK Jablonec: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 1.97), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.91).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.73).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–0 (10.4%), 0–1 (8.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.