Bet with MINO CASINO →RB Leipzig and Manchester City meet on 4 November 2026 · 20:00 at Leipzig Red Bull Arena (Leipzig). Manchester City (61%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.54 | 4.93 | 1.60 |
| Market average | 5.11 | 4.68 | 1.56 |
| Lowest odds | 4.90 | 4.50 | 1.53 |
| Megapari | 5.54 | 4.93 | 1.58 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.35 | 69.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.07 | 30.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.91 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.43 | 65.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.69 | 34.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: RB Leipzig 1–2 Manchester City, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: RB Leipzig 30th (3 points), Manchester City 10th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: RB Leipzig 1W 0D 2L (3:8), Manchester City 2W 0D 1L (9:5).
- H2H: 6 matches: RB Leipzig 1W 1D 4L, goals 9–21.
- Absences: RB Leipzig 4, Manchester City 1.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: injuries, suspensions, absences
RB Leipzig
- M. Guiuhamstring injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouedraogoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- L. Zingerlenot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Esteveknock · doubtful
Manchester City
- A. Semenyoknee injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
RB Leipzig
Home and away
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. RB Leipzig: 30th, 3 points from 3 matches (1W 0D 2L). Manchester City: 10th, 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: RB Leipzig 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded, Manchester City 3.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. RB Leipzig: 1W 0D 2L, goals 3–8; Manchester City: 2W 0D 1L, goals 9–5.
- Head to head. Head to head over 6 meetings: RB Leipzig 1 win, Manchester City 4 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 9–21.
What to expect
We make Manchester City the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.96), with a probability of 50% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 69%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 6; RB Leipzig 1 win, 1 draw, Manchester City 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 5.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: RB Leipzig 3–8, Manchester City 9–5.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Not available: RB Leipzig 4, Manchester City 1.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Other option: Over 3.5 goals (probability 50%, odds up to 1.98). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for RB Leipzig: M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo, L. Zingerle, M. Esteve. Not available for Manchester City: A. Semenyo. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
RB LeipzigLWLManchester CityWLWRB Leipzig vs Manchester City: head to head
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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
On the result, our pick is Manchester City to win (1.60); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.96). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Manchester City (X2).
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
As we see it: RB Leipzig to win 19%, the draw 20%, Manchester City to win 61%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
4 November 2026, 20:00, at Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig.
Who will be missing?
RB Leipzig: M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo, L. Zingerle, M. Esteve. Manchester City: A. Semenyo. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 69% chance (odds 1.38), against 31% for under 2.5 (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.5%), 1–1 (8.3%), 0–2 (7.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.